News Release

Global Oil Supply, Demand & Prices Become Clear Despite the Fog of War

byEnverus

Calgary, Alberta (April 4, 2022) — Enverus Intelligence Research, a subsidiary of Enverus, the leading global energy data analytics and SaaS technology company, has released its latest PetroLogic report, The Fog of War. In it, EIR assesses the outlook for oil supply amid sanctions on Russian energy and what that could mean for prices in the near term.

“With oil prices persistently high since Russia’s late February invasion of Ukraine, we have pared by more than 50% of our expectations for demand growth this year. We now expect global oil demand to grow about 1.5 MMbbl/d Y/Y in 2022, subject to further revision as GDP forecasts are adjusted lower,” said Bill Farren-Price, lead report author and director of Enverus Intelligence Research. “Faced with technical challenges and potential reputational damage, European buyers are avoiding Russian cargoes, which were down by ~1.5 MMbbl/d in early March.”

Key takeaways from the report:

  • EIR now project stock draws through 2022 until Q4, which is mostly in balance as demand growth eases, reflecting lower supply and easing demand as higher prices bite. Our Brent price forecast is now anchored above $100/bbl, reflecting tighter balances on the back of the Ukraine war.
  • The March surge in Brent prices towards $140 brings a focus onto the risks to oil demand. EIR has halved its forecast for oil demand growth in 2022 and GDP downgrades will erode that view further in the coming month.

Members of the media should contact Jon Haubert to schedule an interview with one of Enverus Intelligence Research’s expert analysts.

About Enverus
Enverus is the leading energy SaaS company delivering highly-technical insights and predictive/prescriptive analytics that empower customers to make decisions that increase profit. Enverus’ innovative technologies drive production and investment strategies, enable best practices for energy and commodity trading and risk management, and reduce costs through automated processes across critical business functions. Enverus is a strategic partner to more than 6,000 customers in 50 countries. Learn more at Enverus.com.

About Enverus Intelligence Research
Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is a subsidiary of Enverus and publishes energy-sector research that focuses on the oil and natural gas industries and broader energy topics including publicly traded and privately held oil, gas, midstream and other energy industry companies, basin studies (including characteristics, activity, infrastructure, etc.), commodity pricing forecasts, global macroeconomics and geopolitical matters.  Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an investment adviser.

Enverus

Enverus

Energy’s most trusted SaaS platform — creating intelligent connections that uncover insights and opportunities to deliver extraordinary outcomes.

Related News

Enverus Press Release - Prioritizing renewable PPA offtaker targets proves more challenging than expected
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS platform, has released a report looking at U.S.-based members of the RE100 climate organization and screens for optimal offtake targets based on the magnitude of their clean...

Enverus Press Release - RatedPower releases 2024 Global Renewable Trends Report
News Release
ByEnverus

RatedPower, a part of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, has released its 2024 Global Renewable Trends Report. The report is divided into sections that break down the critical industry challenges, key trends according to industry professionals, success factors...

Enverus Press Release - Enverus Instant Analyst™ technology added to its AI-powered product portfolio
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, today announced it has added Instant Analyst™ technology to its market-leading product portfolio. Built on nearly 30 years of artificial intelligence software implementation experience, the company leads the way in generative AI technology...

Enverus Press Release - EPA’s Quad O regulations expected to trigger tsunami of plugged wells
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, has released a report that details the impact that the EPA’s Quad O regulations will have on upstream oil and gas producers in the U.S.

Enverus Press Release - Core Eagle Ford, the gift that keeps on giving
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS platform, has recently released a report identifying the high-grade locations in the Eagle Ford where recoveries remain high despite denser development.

Enverus News Release - The upside of repowering wind
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, has released a report looking at how onshore wind capacity additions in the U.S. have changed over time and why repowering older projects is gaining momentum.

Enverus News Release - Utility growth prospects: Quantifying long and short opportunities
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, has released a report looking at state-level renewable power adoption and population growth to estimate utility-specific long-term growth rates. In the report, EIR calculates implied value...

Enverus Press Release - Enverus named to Alberta’s Top Employers list
News Release
ByEnverus

AUSTIN, Texas (Jan. 30, 2024) — Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, has again been named to Mediacorp’s Alberta’s Top Employers list. “Being acknowledged once more as one of Alberta’s premier employers is a remarkable achievement for Enverus. It...

Enverus Press Release - $144B of transactions in recording-setting 4Q23 for upstream M&A
News Release
ByEnverus

Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company, is releasing its summary of Q4 and full-year 2023 upstream merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. Q4 recorded a massive $144 billion in upstream M&A, the largest...

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business

Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Register Today

Get Energy Transition Research updates straight to your inbox by filling out the form below.

Sign Up

Power Your Insights

Connect with an Expert

Access Product Tour

Speak to an Expert