Enverus News Release - Quantifying unproven inventory in the Permian

Permian Basin Play Fundamentals

Keys to the Kingdom in the Hands of a Few

The Permian Basin, found in West Texas and southeast New Mexico, is the busiest basin in the U.S. by a factor of five. This blog highlights which operators own the majority of remaining Permian drilling inventory and how operator development choices impact well performance. From assessing cost structures and efficiency metrics, the discussion extends to the evaluation of drill spacing unit (DSU) economics. For a full review of the Permian Basin, you can access our key report and presentation by clicking here. (Only available to Oil and Gas Research subscribers)

Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR) provides subscribers with specialized insights into the Permian Basin, leveraging their deep expertise in North American shale and the Enverus PRISM® analytics platform. Their diverse professionals are equipped with extensive knowledge covering the entire energy spectrum, from geological assessment to financial analysis, distinguishes EIR from competitors. This well-rounded expertise guarantees that EIR’s strategies are not only data-driven but also finely tuned to help customers capitalize on the unique opportunities within the Permian Basin.

Interested in gaining deeper insights into the Permian Basin?  

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The Permian Basin Inventory Breakdown

Remaining Inventory and Operator Influence

The Permian Basin stands at the forefront of U.S. shale in terms of remaining oil inventory. This inventory is predominantly owned by the seven largest operators (Exxon, Diamondback, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, Occidental, Devon and EOG), several of who gained substantial influence through notable acquisitions over the last few years. Such consolidation has led to a stark contrast in inventory availability between the large and the smaller to mid-size operators, a trend that is incentivizing many operators to explore for new development horizons.

Core Area Dominance

The Value of Strategic Positioning

The dominance of core areas across the Midland and Delaware sub-basins has become increasingly clear. These core areas are defined by their exceptional geological characteristics, making them of critical importance for operators. This superiority explains why large companies have focused heavily on acquiring land within these prime regions, as they offer much higher potential drilling returns and densities than other parts of the basin.

Decision Drivers in the Permian

Drill Spacing Unit Optimization: Balancing Returns and Value Capture

Permian Basin operators are carefully balancing near-term cash returns for shareholders and maximizing long-term value for each unit of land. Development planning requires key inputs such as geologic interpretation as well as empirical case studies to justify specific drill spacing unit designs. Enverus Drill Spacing Unit Analytics has become a key tool for operators to compare development plans and outcomes across the basin.

Striking the right balance between single well returns and resource capture has never been more critical. Chasing value can often result in over capitalization crushing returns in the process, while overcorrection leaves precious resource and value on the table. We leveraged an upcoming product, DSU Analytics, to both explain and inform decisions operators are making on a day-to-day basis.

Stephen Sagriff | Principal Analyst | Enverus Intelligence® Research

Conclusion and Insights

Looking Ahead

As EIR investigates what the future holds for the Permian Basin, it’s clear that the lowest-cost operators will continue to rapidly evaluate different development strategies to iterate and improve profitability. Leveraging industry-leading advanced analytics will play a big role helping these operators grow and adapt. If you’re looking for a full review of the Permian Basin, you can access our key report and presentation by clicking here. (Only available to Oil and Gas Research subscribers)

Interested in gaining deeper insights into the Permian Basin? 

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*About Enverus Intelligence®| Research
Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations, and macro-economic forecasts and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies, and capital providers worldwide. EIR is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a foreign investment adviser.  See additional disclosures here.

Authors

Dane Gregoris:
Dane joined Enverus in 2014. His previous work experience includes positions at GLJ Petroleum Consultants and Encana. Dane leads the Oil & Gas Intelligence team and oversees a group of technical and financial specialists using advanced analytics to provide actionable insights. In his role he advises both corporate and institutional clients on strategic investment decisions and is frequently quoted in major media outlets on North American energy topics. Dane graduated from Queen’s University with a degree in geological engineering and is a CFA charter holder.

stephen-sagriff

Stephen Sagriff:
Stephen joined Enverus’ (RS Energy) analyst team in January 2018 and leads the Permian Intelligence team. He has a reservoir engineering background in a business development capacity, having previously worked at RimRock Oil & Gas and interning at ConocoPhillips, both in Calgary. Stephen earned his bachelor’s degree in chemical engineering from the University of Calgary in 2016.

Enverus Press Release - Enverus releases top 100 private E&P operators list

Segmenting Production Data: Turn Shut-In Wells Into Growth Opportunities

One of the key problems in truly understanding a well’s production profile and predicted estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) is that the producing lifecycle of a given well is often impacted by nearby operations, when an operator will need to shut in the well to avoid damage. A well may be shut in due to offset development, intentional re-working, infill development or any other operational scenario.

The challenge: The shut-in event, though necessary at the time, can lead to decreased productivity, or it can provide a boost to well production, depending on the scenario. However, most type curve analyses treat the well as a single event from first spud through to plug, which does not accurately capture the impact of the shut ins.

The solution: Create distinct production segments, quantify the impact of the event on production and classify the type of event. Seems simple, right? Turns out, Enverus is the only one who has solved for this in the market today. Segmenting production data enables accurate identification and quantification of the impact these events have on company production and therefore cashflow.

The Proof: Bakken Case Study

To see production segmentation in action and how it can impact your business, follow through this single well example from the Bakken.

Example API: 33-025-00757

Historic approach to PDP calculation would attempt to fit a curve through the entirety of the well’s production (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Whole-life production modeling | Source: Enverus PRISM® Production Event Analytics

We can identify four distinct periods of production for this well, using Enverus Production Event Analytics (Figure 2).

  1. Initial production
  2. 2012 refrac
  3. 2018 shut in (no detectable cause)
  4. 2022 shut in (offset-infill operation)

Each of these periods can be fitted with a unique decline curve (Curve ID 1-4), which enables true quantification of the impact to production from each event through time and, therefore, the most accurate PDP numbers.

Figure 1: Segmented production modeling | Source: PRISM Production Event Analytics

Results:

Comparing the two approaches to production forecasting shows that the first approach, with no segmentation, yields a First 360 EUR of 326 MBBL, while the enhanced approach with production segmentation by event (Curve ID = 4) yields a First 360 EUR of 333 MBBL. Only ‘Event Two’ required an additional capital investment, and that additional expenditure was negated by a later shut in.

This segmentation also enables more accurate type curves. We have found that Curve ID = 1 is a more useful analog for how future new drills will perform than Curve ID 4 or compared to the overall fit attempted in Figure 1.

Takeaway

Understanding the periods of production is crucial for assessing how operations impact the overall productivity and return on investment of an asset. Production forecasting best practices depends on what you’re trying to achieve, whether that is a quick screen of production profiles, establishing an informed type curve or running a decline curve analysis. Event detection improves your insights in the latter two use cases. Enverus has a range of production forecasting solutions, from current production data, predicted EUR and NPV values pre-generated on every well to detailed customizable type curves with your own production data. We know there’s more than one way to analyze well productivity; explore our other forecasting solutions here.

To learn more about Production Event Analytics, watch our webinar to learn how we identify and classify production events.

epc

Top 10 U.S. EPCs in 2023

In the dynamic landscape of the energy industry, 2023 witnessed remarkable strides in enhancing power generation and infrastructure across the United States. Notably, power capacity increased from 6,580 megawatts (MW) in 2022 to 10,993 MW in 2023, a significant 67.07% increase. From renewable energy pioneers to experts in nuclear power and comprehensive infrastructure development, these are the top 10 engineering and procurement companies (EPCs) that brought the most power online in the United States.

10. White Construction

https://whiteconstruction.com

Brought Online: 372 MW

Projects: 2

White Construction is an infrastructure construction company that focuses on renewable energy projects such as wind, solar and energy storage. They provide construction services aimed at building and maintaining energy infrastructure.

9. Avantus

https://avantus.com

Brought online: 387 MW

Projects: 1

Avantus advances the clean energy transition through its portfolio of smart, sustainable power plants. They aim to provide clean, reliable and affordable energy solutions by integrating advanced technology and diverse expertise.

8. Infrastructure & Energy Alternatives

https://iea.net

Brought online: 455 MW

Projects: 4

Infrastructure & Energy Alternatives (IEA) specializes in energy and heavy civil infrastructure construction. They offer comprehensive services across renewable energy, power delivery, heavy civil, industrial/power, rail and environmental sectors, leveraging more than 125 years of expertise. IEA provides end-to-end solutions to enhance the performance and reliability of energy infrastructure projects.

7. Tennessee Valley Authority

https://www.tva.com

Brought online: 694 MW

Projects: 3

The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) is a federally owned corporation that provides electricity for business customers and local power companies. TVA offers energy solutions and manages natural resources to ensure environmental stewardship.

6. International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers

https://www.ibew.org

Brought online: 749 MW

Projects: 4

The International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) is a prominent labor union representing approximately 775,000 members in the United States and Canada. IBEW advocates for the rights and interests of workers in various sectors, including construction, utilities, telecommunications and broadcasting.[CW1] 

5. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

https://www.mhi.com

Brought online: 774 MW

Projects: 2

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) is a global industrial group specializing in energy, logistics and infrastructure, industrial machinery, aerospace and defense. MHI leverages advanced technology and extensive experience to deliver innovative solutions aimed at achieving carbon neutrality, improving quality of life and ensuring safety.

4. Burns & Roe (POWER Engineers)

https://www.powereng.com

Brought online: 1,183 MW

Projects: 3

Burns & Roe was acquired by POWER Engineers, a global consulting engineering firm specializing in integrated solutions across multiple industries, including energy, food and beverage, facilities, communications, environmental and government sectors. POWER Engineers offer services such as project design, planning, engineering and consulting to support complex projects from inception to completion.

3. Competitive Power Ventures

https://www.cpv.com

Brought online: 1,300 MW

Projects: 2

Competitive Power Ventures (CPV) specializes in electric power generation development and asset management. They focus on creating a balanced energy future through state-of-the-art generating facilities and sustainable practices, with projects in solar, wind and natural gas energy.

2. Burns & McDonnell

https://www.burnsmcd.com

Brought online: 1,327 MW

Projects: 9

Burns & McDonnell is an engineering, architecture and construction firm that delivers innovative infrastructure solutions. They serve various sectors, including energy, aviation, water and manufacturing, providing services from project planning and design to construction and operation.

1. SOLV Energy

https://www.solvenergy.com

Brought online: 1,944 MW

Projects: 11

SOLV Energy specializes in engineering, procurement and construction services for solar energy projects. They focus on delivering reliable and sustainable energy solutions through innovative design, advanced technology, and efficient project management.

Enverus Power & Renewables provides current and planned power project and grid infrastructure data to identify high potential renewable energy opportunities for developers, utilities, and EPCs. Quickly analyze parcel attributes, land exclusion areas, and favorable LMP information while also discovering promising battery storage areas and point of interconnection.

Enverus Press Release - Load impact imminent: Data center growth at the mercy of power supply constraints

Top 10 U.S. Transmission Line Owners by Miles

Transmission lines are vital to the power grid’s functionality, facilitating the efficient transport of electricity across long distances from generation sources to urban centers. They bolster grid resilience by enabling power redirection during disruptions, support load balancing and integration of diverse energy sources, promote economic efficiency through competition, and enable the implementation of modern grid technologies while accommodating future demands and electrification needs.

In total, the top 10 U.S. transmission line owners have 1,404.35 miles of transmission lines since 2023, which is approximately the driving distance from New York City to Miami, Florida. Here are the top 10 U.S. transmission line owners by miles since 2023:

10. Indiana Michigan Power

https://www.indianamichiganpower.com

Miles of Transmission Lines: 15

Indiana Michigan Power, a subsidiary of American Electric Power, provides electric service to customers in Indiana and Michigan. They focus on delivering reliable and affordable energy, supporting economic development and implementing sustainable practices.

9. American Transmission Company

https://www.atcllc.com/

Miles of Transmission Lines: 18

American Transmission Company owns and operates high-voltage electric transmission systems in portions of the Midwest. They ensure reliable electric service by planning, constructing, operating and maintaining transmission lines and substations.

8. Southwestern Electric Power Company

https://www.swepco.com

Miles of Transmission Lines: 18

Southwestern Electric Power Company (SWEPCO) provides electric service to customers in Louisiana, Arkansas and Texas. As a subsidiary of American Electric Power, SWEPCO focuses on delivering reliable and affordable energy, supporting economic development and promoting sustainability through renewable energy projects and efficiency programs.

7. Pedernales Electric Cooperative

https://www.pec.coop/

Miles of Transmission Lines: 19

Pedernales Electric Cooperative (PEC) is the largest electric distribution cooperative in the United States, serving more than 370,000 members in Central Texas. PEC provides reliable electric service, promotes energy efficiency and supports community development.

6. Basin Electric Power Cooperative

https://www.basinelectric.com

Miles of Transmission Lines: 19

Basin Electric Power Cooperative is a consumer-owned, regional cooperative headquartered in North Dakota. It generates and transmits electricity to member rural electric systems in nine states.

5. Duke Energy Florida

https://www.duke-energy.com/home

Miles of Transmission Lines: 23

Duke Energy Florida provides electric services to residential, commercial and industrial customers throughout the state. They focus on delivering reliable and affordable energy, enhancing grid infrastructure and integrating renewable energy sources to promote sustainability.

4. Appalachian Power

https://www.appalachianpower.com

Miles of Transmission Lines: 35

Appalachian Power, a subsidiary of American Electric Power, provides electricity to customers in West Virginia, Virginia and Tennessee. The company focuses on delivering reliable and affordable energy, enhancing grid infrastructure and promoting renewable energy projects.

3. New York Power Authority

https://www.nypa.gov

Miles of Transmission Lines: 85

The New York Power Authority (NYPA) is the largest state public power organization in the United States, providing low-cost electricity to government agencies, municipal utilities and rural electric cooperatives. NYPA focuses on clean energy initiatives, energy efficiency and grid modernization to support the state’s transition to renewable energy sources.

2. AEP Texas

https://www.aeptexas.com

Miles of Transmission Lines: 98

AEP Texas, a subsidiary of American Electric Power, delivers electric services to customers in South and West Texas. They focus on providing reliable and safe electricity, maintaining and upgrading infrastructure, and supporting renewable energy integration.

1. Lower Colorado River Authority (LCRA)

https://www.lcra.org

Miles of Transmission Lines: 1,071

The Lower Colorado River Authority manages the lower Colorado River and provides services including water supply, energy and community development in Texas. They focus on reliable electric transmission, water conservation, flood management and recreational opportunities.

Enverus Power & Renewables provides current and planned power project and grid infrastructure data to identify high potential renewable energy opportunities for developers, utilities, and EPCs. Quickly analyze parcel attributes, land exclusion areas, and favorable LMP information while also discovering promising battery storage areas and point of interconnection.

risk-manager-sector

From Donations to Dividends: 5 Ways Charities, Government Entities and Endowments Can Maximize Returns From Effective Mineral Management

Effective mineral management is the cornerstone of maximizing returns from your mineral assets. With the right tools and strategies, you can unlock hidden revenue, streamline your operations and gain a comprehensive understanding of your asset portfolio. Enverus offers powerful solutions to transform how you manage your minerals, providing insights that drive financial growth and stability. This blog will walk you through five key ways to optimize your mineral management practices, ensuring you capture every opportunity for enhanced returns.

1. Quick and easy reporting:

Proper reporting helps you quickly filter and analyze where missed payments are located. Enverus allows you to run reports of payments by properties in just two clicks. This helps in quickly filtering and analyzing where missed payments are located, giving you a clear overview of your income streams.

2. Context for missed payments:

Understanding why a payment is missing is crucial. Missed payments can occur for several reasons:

  • A well is in suspense: The well has been moved from in pay to suspense for some reason.
  • Nearby activity: To protect the well you are in pay on, if a nearby well is being drilled or fracked, your well might be shut in.
  • Not producing: Quickly see if a well has been reporting production or has moved to an inactive status.

By having context around why a missed payment might have occurred, you can quickly reach out to the operator with your questions and contextual information.

3. Forecasting income:

Estimating future income can be challenging because minerals are living and breathing with wells coming online and being plugged. Getting forecasted production from a reliable source will provide guidance on what your wells will be producing individually or as a portfolio to forecast estimated income and value for proper financial planning and reporting. For years, Enverus has provided reliable forecasted production data that automatically updates your forecasts and estimations as new information arises. These estimations can also be used for those divesting or reporting value. While the reporting does not qualify as a certified engineering report, for many it fits the bill of providing a base number of estimated producing value.

4. Asset identification:

Knowing what you own is fundamental. For many firms, even knowing what you receive payments on is elusive. Enverus automatically matches your properties to API10s (unique identifiers) so that you can see your properties on a map or even download a copy of your inventory and decimal ownership. For those looking to divest, having this information on hand allows you to provide the buyer instant information to value the asset. Owners with the most complete information receive higher valuations than those in disarray.

5. Monitoring nearby activity:

Keeping track of what’s happening around your assets is essential for financial planning. The two ways that a mineral portfolio increases in value are by new activity or commodity price fluctuations. The assets are inherently declining, and if you are not tracking what is occurring around what you own, it is difficult to plan around influxes of income. Enverus utilizes proprietary GPS-enabled rig tracking to provide near-real-time updates to nearby rigs and permits. Users can also add minerals or land not receiving royalties to see if there are any wells in pay they are unaware of or to track activity occurring around. This helps you plan around potential income fluctuations due to new activity or commodity price changes.

The Real-World Impact

Effective mineral management is more than just a task; it’s a strategic advantage that can drive significant financial outcomes. Active mineral management can transform how charities, government entities and endowments operate. Charities can leverage additional revenue streams to support their missions, stabilizing finances and expanding their impact. Government entities can maximize asset values, funding public services and community projects. Endowments can diversify portfolios and boost returns, supporting scholarships, research and institutional growth.

Real-world examples abound of organizations optimizing revenue and ensuring financial sustainability through effective mineral management practices. These success stories underscore the importance of proactive strategies and the right tools to achieve optimal results.

“MineralSoft® has empowered us to shift our focus significantly towards our core mission of grant giving, reducing the amount of time we previously invested in administrative and accounting tasks related to our oil and gas assets.”

Roy Geer, Controller

Learn more about how Mabee Foundations fulfilled their grant giving mission with greater operational and cost efficiency using leading mineral management technology to manage cash flow for capital grants. 

By leveraging tools and insights from Enverus, you can ensure that your mineral assets are working at their fullest potential. Take control of your mineral assets today and unlock a new level of financial performance and sustainability.

Enverus Logo

Understanding the Intricacies of Joint Interest Billing in Oil and Gas Accounting

If you’ve ever asked the question, “What is joint interest billing (JIB) in oil and gas accounting?”, you’re not alone. JIB is a vital part of oil and gas accounting, dealing with the distribution and billing of shared operational costs among multiple stakeholders in a project. It’s crucial for efficient financial management within the oil and gas sector, especially when it comes to joint ventures. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept, challenges and digital transformation of JIB in oil and gas accounting.

Exploring the Fundamentals of JIB

It’s crucial to understand that JIB sits at the core of oil and gas accounting. It’s a procedure that ensures precise financial reporting and fair cost distribution among stakeholders in a joint venture. A clear understanding of JIB is essential for maintaining transparency and accountability in financial transactions by tracking and allocating costs accurately.

The JIB process is composed of several key elements that help streamline the accounting procedures:
• Invoice preparation: This involves generating detailed invoices, specifying the costs incurred for various operational activities.
• Cost allocation: After invoice preparation, costs are distributed to the respective working interest owners based on their ownership shares.
• Approval and payment: Following cost allocation, the invoices undergo review, approval and payment by the joint venture parties.
• Accounting and reporting: Finally, costs and revenues are recorded in the accounting system, and comprehensive reports are generated to provide an overview of the joint venture’s financial performance.

A solid grasp of JIB and its key elements is essential for oil and gas companies to ensure accurate cost tracking, financial transparency and effective joint venture management.

Tackling Challenges in JIB Accounting

It’s also crucial to acknowledge the challenges of JIB that can arise. One of the most common obstacles in JIB accounting is the complexity of calculations, especially when multiple parties are involved in a joint venture. This complexity can lead to inaccuracies in financial reporting, which can distort financial statements and performance metrics.

To navigate these challenges, it’s necessary to adopt robust solutions that simplify the JIB accounting process. Utilizing sophisticated JIB software designed for oil and gas accounting can automate calculations, improve accuracy and enhance efficiency. Establishing clear communication channels and fostering collaboration among joint venture partners can also help mitigate discrepancies and disputes, ensuring transparency and accountability in JIB accounting. With the right tools and practices, the challenges in JIB accounting can be effectively addressed, leading to accurate financial reporting and enhanced joint venture management.

Transitioning from Paper JIBs to Digital Systems

The oil and gas industry has seen a significant transition from paper JIBs to digital systems. This shift has been driven by the need for a more streamlined and accurate accounting process. Digital JIB systems offer several advantages, including eliminating the need for manual data entry and providing real-time visibility into financial data.

The transition to digital JIB involves choosing a reliable JIB software solution that fits specific requirements, developing an implementation plan and adhering to best practices. Regular audits and reconciliation processes, along with system updates, ensure the accuracy and integrity of financial records and leverage new industry advancements.

Moving from paper JIBs to digital systems marks a significant step towards efficiency and accuracy in oil and gas accounting. By embracing digital solutions, companies can streamline their financial processes, gain real-time operational insights and make data-driven decisions for better project management.

Modern Developments in JIB

JIB statements are crucial records for non-operated working interest partners, detailing the expenses incurred. Unlike royalty owners who only receive deductions from production, non-operated partners incur their share of all well expenses before receiving income. Benefits for non-operated partners include tax deductions.

Historically, JIB statements were available only in EnergyLink. With recent advancements, they are now provided in MiQ. Free and Basic users can access PDFs, while Plus customers enjoy the added benefit of downloading statements in Excel at no extra cost, resulting in significant savings. Future updates promise enhanced functionality, offering more granular workflows and better cash flow understanding at the operator and well level.

Enverus products, including EnergyLink and MiQ, use single sign-on for security. If you encounter issues accessing JIBs in MiQ, ensure all EnergyLink accounts use the same credentials.

For those looking to upgrade to MiQ+, a form is available for consultation with experts who can guide through the process.

By keeping up with these advancements and understanding the core principles of JIB, oil and gas companies can manage their joint ventures more efficiently, ensuring financial accuracy and operational transparency.

Enverus Blog - 4 steps to confidently forecast remaining drilling inventory

Drilling Into Tomorrow: Inventory Quality Influencing Capital Efficiency and A&D

Undeveloped inventory is the cornerstone of the future of shale E&Ps. It’s the key driver of sustainable long-term cash flows, valuations and A&D strategies. The team at Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR) dedicates thousands of hours each year to assessing and valuing hundreds of E&Ps’ portfolios.

In EIR’s latest report, powered by Enverus Inventory Solutions, they’ve identified three compelling trends in inventory quality and its far-reaching impacts on capital efficiency and A&D dynamics in North American shale:

  1. The cliff is near (for some):

Several small-to-mid-sized E&Ps face looming capital efficiency challenges as high-quality inventory dwindles. EIR’s analysis reveals U.S. large-cap and Canadian-domiciled operators have double and quadruple the amount of high-quality inventory life remaining as their U.S.-based smid-cap counterparts, respectively. With only 5 years of sub-$50 breakeven inventory, SMID-caps are approaching an inventory cliff.

  1. Drilling your best… or your last?

While a select set of operators approach an inventory cliff, some operators are burning through premium acreage at an alarming rate. EIR’s analysis exposes stark contrasts between current well economics and overall inventory quality, revealing hidden risks to near term capital efficiency that inventory numbers alone don’t tell.

  1. Merge or fade: The inventory imperative

With several operators facing shortfalls in critical inventory and capital efficiency metrics, consolidation is not just an option, but an opportunity. From untapped basin potential to overlooked assets, EIR has identified key opportunities that could benefit both buyers and sellers of assets.

Action Items for Operators and Investors of the Next Phase of Shale Development

  1. Prioritize both capital efficiency and sustainability: Favor E&Ps with deep, high-quality inventory and smart capital allocation.

  2. Stay agile: Refine capital allocation strategies using EIR’s well performance vs. inventory quality insights.

  3. Spot divestiture gems: Identify underutilized assets ripe for optimization or acquisition.

Remember, informed decisions drive success in the ever-changing E&P sector.


This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a professional before making investment decisions.

Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc., a subsidiary of Enverus, provides the Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) products. See additional disclosures.

Enverus News Release - POWER and Enverus partner on new power industry data and insights tool

Long-Term Load Forecast | Re-Energized Rate of Growth

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s (EIR) long-term load forecast model considers historical drivers of power demand across the Lower 48. It forecasts the total load in the U.S. to grow 42% by 2050 from today due to population growth, increased data center demand, cryptocurrency mining growth, carbon capture and storage (CCUS), green hydrogen plant demand and electric vehicle (EV) adoption (Figure 1). SE, PJM, ERCOT and WEST are projected to experience the highest levels of load growth extending to 2050. Offsetting load growth in this figure is EIR’s behind the meter residential solar and storage forecast.

Data center load growth will add 153 GW of capacity by 2050. EIR believes that data center load estimates across the U.S. are overstated: load outlooks from ISOs often incorporate biases either to encourage new policy or add a margin of safety. Their model contains more realistic projections for each significant load segment using an unbiased and consistent methodology across the Lower 48.

Additionally, ERCOT base load stands out, reflecting Texas’ strong population growth and industrial base. Nevertheless, PJM and SE regions will continue to be the highest base load areas with the highest intraday variability. Exposure to large industrial load growth, such as data centers in areas such as the Dominion Zone in PJM (PJM DOM) and the North Central zone in ERCOT (ERCOT Northcentral), is the main factor driving higher load growth. EVs also have a strong impact in CAISO and the Northeastern states in ISONE, PJM and NYISO.

Research Highlights:

  • ERCOT Fundamentals – Lighting the Lone Star – Gain valuable insights into the future of the ERCOT power market with Enverus Intelligence Research’s comprehensive report, covering generation mix projections, load forecasts, power price impacts, market restructuring, interconnection queues, asset benchmarking and project siting analysis.
  • Data Center Alley – Capacity Running Out – This Fusion Insights analyzes load interconnect opportunities remaining in PJM and identifies prime locations to locate new data centers. Subscribers can download the nodal withdrawal capacity data file attachment and use Fusion to join it with our ATC or substation tables in Prism to recreate this dashboard.
  • Long-Term Load Forecast – Returning to Growth – Our long-term power demand forecast model considers historical drivers of power demand across the Lower 48 and models variables that we think will impact future load, including data centers, electric vehicles, residential solar and storage, cryptocurrency mines, green hydrogen, CCUS and electrification trends. This report analyzes the effects that these new exponential load drivers will have on our power demand forecasts from 2024-2050.

About Enverus Intelligence®| Research 
Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations, and macro-economic forecasts and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies, and capital providers worldwide. EIR is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a foreign investment adviser. Click here to learn more. 

Enverus Blog - What you should know about the future of mineral acquisitions

Transforming Donations into Revenue: The Critical Role of Mineral Management for Charities, Government Entities and Endowments

In the complex world of mineral ownership, the stakes are high for charities, government entities and endowments. These organizations often inherit or receive mineral assets as donations, with minimal understanding of their potential value. Effective mineral management can unlock significant financial benefits, ensuring stability and growth. Drawing from years of industry experience, let’s explore the importance of active mineral management and how proactive strategies can transform overlooked assets into vital revenue streams.

The Importance of Active Mineral Management

Active mineral management is a game-changer for charities, government entities and endowments. These organizations often view mineral assets as peripheral holdings, unaware of the substantial impact they can have. From churches to hospitals and municipalities to educational institutions, the effective management of these assets can lead to enhanced financial health and sustainability.

For example, I recall working with a local church early in my career. Amid the shale boom, they sought an assessment of mineral holdings donated decades ago. To their surprise, we discovered numerous horizontal wells on their property, yet they hadn’t received any payments. Unbeknownst to them, payments were in suspense due to improperly transferred deeds. This scenario is all too common, as minerals are frequently passed down without the necessary knowledge or resources to manage them effectively.

Managing minerals effectively is crucial for financial sustainability. By actively managing their mineral assets, these organizations can optimize revenue, enhance returns and ensure long-term success.

For charities: Donations and investments are the lifeblood of charitable organizations. Active mineral management can offer an additional revenue stream, stabilizing finances and expanding their impact. Consider the example above of the local church that was unaware of the potential value of mineral holdings donated decades ago. By assessing these assets, charities can uncover hidden income streams, enabling them to fund more initiatives and support their missions more effectively.

For government entities: Municipalities and state agencies can generate substantial revenue from mineral resources through leases, royalties and other agreements. Proactive management strategies can maximize asset value, leading to increased funding for public services and community projects. Government entities often hold mineral rights as part of land acquisitions and can benefit significantly from a structured approach to mineral management.

For endowments: Educational institutions and other organizations with endowments can boost financial growth through active mineral management. Properly managed mineral assets diversify portfolios and potentially yield higher returns, supporting scholarships, research and institutional growth. Endowments that neglect their mineral assets may miss out on significant income that could further their educational missions.

Key Questions for Mineral Asset Holders

To maximize the value of mineral assets, organizations must address several critical questions:

  • Am I in pay on every well?
  • What is the expected income from producing wells?
  • What do we even own?
  • How can I research wells we might not be in pay on?

Even if you have historically just deposited your royalty checks every month and have little to no experience in mineral management, the answers to these questions should take under an hour a month regardless of portfolio size. We first focus on what is coming in, then focus on what is unknown.

Like any real asset, most of the work is just finding where to start. We call this manage by exception. If things look good, ignore and move on to what doesn’t look or feel right. As a royalty owner or manager, you are entitled to receive a statement of accounting but there is no context given around those lengthy statements. How do you understand and manage your mineral assets to maximize revenue? How does partnering with Enverus help you answer crucial questions to effectively manage your mineral asset?

Partnering With Enverus

While mastering mineral management might seem daunting, with the right tools, even those with minimal experience in mineral management can get a clear picture of their holdings in under an hour a month. The first step is to focus on what is already coming in, followed by identifying and investigating any discrepancies or unknowns.

Enverus makes solutions accessible for the everyday owner. By providing the tools and insights needed, Enverus empowers charities, government entities and endowments to effectively manage their mineral assets, ensuring they are not missing out on valuable income.

“MineralSoft® has empowered us to shift our focus significantly towards our core mission of grant giving, reducing the amount of time we previously invested in administrative and accounting tasks related to our oil and gas assets.”

Roy Geer, Controller

See full story of how Mabee Foundations partnered with Enverus to streamline the management of its vast mineral portfolio.

Active mineral management is not just about managing assets—it’s about unlocking potential and ensuring the financial sustainability of your organization. Let Enverus help you navigate this journey with confidence and expertise. Get peace of mind in 30 minutes or less when you partner with Enverus to manage your mineral assets.

Download comprehensive guide to effective mineral asset management.

Enverus offers a variety of mineral management solutions tailored to fit every budget. Speak to an expert for a free consultation to discuss your needs and learn how Enverus can partner with you to make mineral management easier.

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Interconnection Queue Review: Southern Company’s Evolving Energy Landscape

Southern Company (SoCo), a leading energy provider in the United States, has established itself through a commitment to reliability and innovation in generation, transmission and wholesale energy. As a parent company to several prominent electric companies, including Alabama Power, Georgia Power and Mississippi Power, it plays a crucial role in delivering electricity to millions of homes, businesses and industries across the Southeast.

As the energy landscape evolves, interconnection queue trends provide a glimpse into the region’s commitment to a more sustainable and resilient energy future. Interconnection queues, which track pending and approved power projects waiting to connect to the grid, offer insights into SoCo’s future capacity, technology advancements and renewable integration. As part of Enverus Project Tracking Analytics, we meticulously review project development processes within various utility and interconnection queues, ensuring a comprehensive project analysis.

Overall capacity growth in SoCo since 2016

Figure 1- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Total capacity proposed from 2008-2024, by year and current status

Over the past 8 years, the SoCo utility queue has undergone a dramatic shift. From 2008 through 2015, 22,031 MWs were proposed in the interconnection queue. From those queue positions, 6,519 MW ultimately became operational, a success rate under 30%. Most of that development was proposed in 2010; the Vogtle Nuclear Plant was added to the queue that year and it accounts for 4,658 of the 5,589 currently operating MWs stemming from queue positions in that year.

In 2016, however, the total proposed capacity that entered the queue jumped to 11,045 MW, more capacity than the previous five years combined. And since then, the proposed capacity entering the queue each year has consistently stayed close to that level or above it.

This trend extends to the actual operating capacity realized by post-2016 queue positions as well. For queue positions dated 2016 and later, 12,221 MW of now-operating capacity has been added to the queue, an average of 1,358 MW per year. Those values are significantly up from 2008-2015, when an average of 815 MW now-operating capacity were added per year. That value is also not accounting for the fact that some post-2016 queue positions are still in development but will eventually get built, pushing those numbers even higher.

Energy mix shifts towards renewables

Figure 2- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Total capacity proposed from 2008-2024, by year and project type

When we turn our attention beyond the overall capacity numbers, to the specific energy mix being developed in SoCo, a complicated picture emerges. Since 2016, solar and storage proposals have been flooding the queue, with solar making up 61% of all new proposed capacity and storage another 23%. However, these projects are struggling to reach completion, and the SoCo energy mix remains heavy on traditional fuel sources like gas and coal.

Figures 3.1 and 3.2- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Operating capacity with 2008-2015 queue dates, by project type (left); Operating capacity with 2016-2024 queue dates, by project type (right).

Figures 4.1-4.3- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Combined gas, coal and nuclear capacity with 2016-2024 queue dates, by status (left); Solar capacity with 2016-2024 queue dates, by status (center); Storage capacity with 2016-2024 queue dates, by status (right)

How does the queue align with SOCO’s integrated resource plans

SoCo’s focus on the clean energy transition is not only evident via the interconnection queue, but also the goals set forth via the most recent integrated resource plans (IRPs) from Alabama Power (2023 IRP), Georgia Power (2023 IRP) and Mississippi Power (2021 IRP). These plans outline each company’s goals for their energy mix through 2044.

Figure 5- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Most recent IRP goals from Alabama Power, Georgia Power and Mississippi Power, by project types and planned implementation year
Figure 6- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Projected capacity changes by fuel type over next 20 years, via the most recent IRP goals from Alabama Power, Georgia Power and Mississippi Power

Those three companies have specified that they plan to transition in particular to more natural gas, solar, and energy storage over the next 20 years in an effort to significantly reduce their reliance on coal.

The queue does not seem to align with the plans laid out in these IRPs. For example, in the SoCo queue, there are 24,809 MW of planned solar projects, whereas the IRPs indicate plans to introduce only 12,178 MW of solar and solar + storage by 2044. This likely reflects a clogged queue, with far more projects in the queue than could feasibly be built.

Looking to the future

What can these trends tell us about the future of the SoCo energy landscape?

Figure 7- Enverus P&R Project Tracking: Capacity added from 2008-2030, by operating date and project type

In examining the SoCo interconnection queue, a few noteworthy trends emerge. There plainly exists a will to build more sustainable capacity in the southeast, as evidenced by the continuing prevalence of solar and storage in the queue. Figure 7 above lays out a vision for a SoCo interconnection brimming with solar and battery power in the next six years. If all the projects currently in development were to become operational, by 2030 an astounding 60% of SoCo’s energy mix would be solar and storage.

However, these projects have thus far struggled to get built at the same rate as gas, coal and nuclear projects. If current trends hold around solar and storage projects, the mix is likely to remain heavy on those conventional technologies, and we may see even more natural gas proposals, as the utility embraces a more balanced approach to maintaining energy diversity amidst the ongoing energy transition.

To see this data in action or to analyze other utilities, submit a data request to view Enverus P&R Project Tracking Analytics. Using Enverus PRISM® historical and future queue tracking, analysts can get a comprehensive understanding of utility and interconnection queue trends. Simplify your power asset planning and analysis with the most extensive power project, grid infrastructure, IRP,  parcel, LMP and economics data available.

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