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EIR Macro Forecaster report identifies oil and gas’ breaking points

OECD crude and product inventory remains low and limited supply growth will drive crude prices to triple digits yet continue to depress natural gas

byEnverus

CALGARY, Alberta (March 8, 2023) — Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS platform, has released its latest Macro Forecaster, a report developed for the financial services industry, and is focused on the outlook for near-term oil and gas prices. In EIR’s report, relevant fundamental drivers of oil and gas are discussed, of which include resurgent Chinese oil demand, Permian supply concerns, inflationary impacts on oil field services and general global economic uncertainty.

“We expect additional crude and product inventory draws in the second half of 2023, as accelerating demand exceeds supply growth. Crude and product inventories that currently remain stubbornly below the five-year average will be further stressed and triple digit oil prices seem inevitable,” said Al Salazar, senior vice president at EIR.

“Natural gas production has been resilient in 2023 in comparison to 2022, and we expect 2.9 Bcf/d of growth over the summer. Some of the growth will be offset by incremental LNG demand from Freeport LNG terminal’s restart and increased price-induced power burn growth, but natural gas prices will be under intense pressure,” Salazar said.

Key takeaways the report:

  • EIR forecasts Brent to reach triple-digit oil prices in 2H23 as demand is expected to grow 1.5 MMbbl/d Y/Y and Russian shipments of crude are falling month over month.
  • EIR forecasts NYMEX to remain depressed this summer with risks to the downside if activity in the Haynesville maintains current pace.

Members of the media should contact Jon Haubert to schedule an interview with one of Enverus’ expert analysts.

About Enverus
Enverus is the most trusted, energy-dedicated SaaS platform, offering real-time access to analytics, insights and benchmark cost and revenue data sourced from our partnerships to 98% of U.S. energy producers, and more than 35,000 suppliers. Our platform, with intelligent connections, drives more efficient production and distribution, capital allocation, renewable energy development, investment and sourcing, and our experienced industry experts support our customers through thought leadership, consulting and technology innovations. We provide intelligence across the energy ecosystem: renewables, oil and gas, financial institutions, and power and utilities, with more than 6,000 customers in 50 countries. Learn more at Enverus.com.

About Enverus Intelligence Research
Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is a subsidiary of Enverus and publishes energy-sector research that focuses on the oil and natural gas industries and broader energy topics including publicly traded and privately held oil, gas, midstream and other energy industry companies, basin studies (including characteristics, activity, infrastructure, etc.), commodity pricing forecasts, global macroeconomics and geopolitical matters. Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a foreign investment adviser.

Media Contact: Jon Haubert | 303.396.5996

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