Calgary, Alberta (August 3, 2022) — Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the leading global energy data analytics and SaaS technology company, has released Macro Forecaster, a new report that assesses the continued impact of COVID-19, the Ukraine war and weakening global economy on near-term oil and gas balances.
“Until July we have argued that Brent pricing was well supported at $100/bbl. However, the downside risks are becoming more prominent, and we now expect some sort of European recession by the end of the year. This will loosen balances by 1-2 MMbbl/d as weaker global demand emerges. We expect Brent to drift to the mid-$80s/low-$90s by year-end,” said Bill Farren-Price, one of the report’s authors and a director at Enverus Intelligence Research.
The report noted recent strength in U.S. gas prices. “The NYMEX summer strip traded at a wide range from ~$5.50-8.00/MMBtu in July. For summer 2022 and winter 2022-2023, our supply estimates are based on guidance that has zero elasticity. However, next summer we expect supply growth to push prices downwards to around $4.50/MMBtu. As for demand, industrial activity and power generation are showing no signs of slowing.”
Frequently asked questions answered in the report:
The Macro Forecaster combines EIR’s former PetroLogic, Near-Term Gas Market Outlook reports and elements of the Completions, Crews and Consumables report into a consolidated view of the energy industry.
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About Enverus Intelligence Research
Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is a subsidiary of Enverus and publishes energy-sector research that focuses on the oil and natural gas industries and broader energy topics including publicly traded and privately held oil, gas, midstream and other energy industry companies, basin studies (including characteristics, activity, infrastructure, etc.), commodity pricing forecasts, global macroeconomics and geopolitical matters. Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an investment adviser.