Trading & Risk

Specter of $150/bbl Looms as WTI Jumps 26% in One Week

byEnverus

Calgary, Alberta (March 7, 2022) — Enverus, the leading energy SaaS and data analytics company, has released an updated QuickPrice research report highlighting the possibility of $150/bbl crude oil.

Increasingly severe sanctions imposed by the U.S. and its allies on Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine are isolating the country — one of the world’s largest oil exporters — from global markets and pushing WTI to prices not seen since 2008. While sanctions have not directly targeted Russian energy exports, that sector is still being stretched to its limit and further tightening the global supply picture. If proposed bans on oil imports from Russia in the U.S. and Europe come to fruition, $150/bbl is not out of the question.

“Sanctions so far have not directly targeted Russia’s energy exports, but they have still been impacted. The country exports around 7 MMbbl/d of oil and oil products, making it one of the largest exporters in the world. Last week, major oil and gas companies — including four supermajors — announced plans to exit their Russian businesses. Traders also reportedly had difficulty in finding buyers for Russia’s benchmark Urals crude despite significant discounts,” said Matthew Keillor of Enverus.

Key takeaways from Enverus’ QuickPrice research report:

  • WTI’s settlement of $103.41/bbl on Tuesday was its first above $100 since 2014. The Friday settlement of $115.68/bbl was up 26% week-over-week and was the benchmark’s highest settlement since September 2008.
  • The U.S. and some European allies are now considering a ban on Russian oil imports, which market watchers have predicted could lead to prices of $150/bbl or more. For reference, the highest WTI settlement ever, set on July 3, 2008, was $145.29.
  • Henry Hub also climbed 12% last week to settle at $5.016/MMBtu on Friday, which was the benchmark’s first settlement over $5 since Feb. 2. Although Russian gas supplies to Europe have continued, significant uncertainty helped drive a surge in European prices, and the conflict raised the prospect of increased demand for U.S. LNG.

QuickPrice is published every week by Enverus and covers oil and gas price activity with data on prices, inventories, production, rig activity and other factors affecting the market.

Members of the media should contact Jon Haubert to schedule an interview with one of Enverus’ expert analysts.

About Enverus
Enverus is the leading energy SaaS company delivering highly-technical insights and predictive/prescriptive analytics that empower customers to make decisions that increase profit. Enverus’ innovative technologies drive production and investment strategies, enable best practices for energy and commodity trading and risk management, and reduce costs through automated processes across critical business functions. Enverus is a strategic partner to more than 6,000 customers in 50 countries. Learn more at Enverus.com.

 

 

Picture of Enverus

Enverus

Energy’s most trusted SaaS platform — creating intelligent connections that uncover insights and opportunities to deliver extraordinary outcomes.

Related News

War Damage Outlasts Forward Market Expectations
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research says war-damaged refining capacity could recover more slowly than forward markets imply, keeping product margins elevated through 2027.

You can’t print barrels EIR holds $100 Brent forecast
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research maintains its $100/bbl Brent forecast through 2027 despite weaker oil demand, citing constrained supply, low inventories and limited refining capacity.

Brent holds at $100 as global supply risks persist
Newsroom
Financial Services, Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research examines the 2Q26 slowdown in U.S. upstream M&A and the factors that could drive stronger deal activity later in 2026.

Asia pays up after Qatari LNG loss
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

EIR analysis finds Asian LNG buyers have mostly absorbed lost Qatari supply through higher-cost replacement cargoes, with demand rationing concentrated among more price-sensitive importers.

U.S. natural gas prices face power demand drag
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence Research says U.S. natural gas prices face pressure as power demand underperforms, while LNG exports remain the key offset to resilient supply.

What’s next for the Strait of Hormuz?
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest Strait of Hormuz outlook highlights a stocks-driven “higher for longer” setup, modeling OECD crude and product inventories falling from 2.82 Bbbl (YE25) to a 2.36 Bbbl trough in Q4 2026. The report also flags a potential...

You can’t print barrels EIR holds $100 Brent forecast
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus’ latest Fundamental Edge report, “Let’s Make a Deal | Brent Upgrade, Henry Downgrade,” raises its 2H26 Brent forecast to $110/bbl on a late-June deal and gradual Strait of Hormuz reopening while maintaining a capped summer Henry Hub outlook and...

Qatari LNG outage shifts global gas market into structural deficit
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Qatari LNG supply disruptions could shift global gas markets into a structural deficit through 2030, with elevated TTF and JKM pricing, intensified Europe-Asia LNG competition and increased strategic value for Pacific-facing export projects, according to Enverus Intelligence® Research.

EIR maintains higher for longer oil outlook as markets catch up
Newsroom
Trading & Risk
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research maintains its higher-for-longer oil outlook, holding its $95/bbl Brent forecast for 2026 and $100/bbl for 2027 as markets begin to align with its earlier call. The latest Fundamental Edge report highlights ongoing geopolitical risk and supply disruption...

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business
Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Get Started?