News Release

With ~55,000 sub-$50/bbl locations, the Permian’s low-breakeven runway expands

New analysis reveals deepening inventory optionality alongside growing development sequencing risk across the basin

byJon Haubert

CALGARY, Alberta (Apr. 15, 2026) — Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the leading energy data analytics platform, has released its latest report, Permian Basin Play Fundamentals: The Intervals Keep Coming. As global supply uncertainty and price volatility weigh on capital allocation decisions, low-cost basins like the Permian have rarely been more relevant, and new analysis from EIR suggests the basin’s runway is longer than previously understood.

The report estimates that the Permian holds ~55,000 sub-$50/bbl economically viable (EV) drilling locations, representing ~10% year-over-year growth that EIR attributes primarily to high-quality resource expansion and continued cost reductions. This sub-$50/bbl inventory is nearly double the combined total across several other major North American plays referenced in the report.

The report also highlights the continued importance of resource delineation. EIR estimates total undeveloped inventory approaches 100,000 locations when including geologically viable (GV) resource, with GV additions increasing location count 42% and oil resource 29%; EIR notes over 60% (~5.8 Bbbl) of this incremental oil resource is concentrated in emerging deep zones, including the Barnett-Woodford and Wolfcamp D.

“Our latest work on the Permian underscores how interval optionality and cost reductions continue to refresh the basin’s runway,” said Stephen Sagriff, report author and EIR director of oil and gas research.

“While top operators still control much of the highest-quality inventory, emerging deep zones and development sequencing considerations are increasingly important for understanding where economics hold and where risk may rise as activity shifts deeper or returns to maturing areas.”

Key takeaways:

  • EIR estimates the Permian Basin holds ~55,000 sub-$50/bbl EV locations, representing ~10% growth year over year.
  • Private operators hold ~16% of sub-$50/bbl breakeven inventory (with ~7% tied to family-owned companies).
  • EIR estimates the Midland Barnett-Woodford represents the largest oil-directed expansion opportunity in the L48, totaling over 6,000 combined EV and GV locations; EIR reports 2025 well performance from the zones exceeded the Midland average by over 30%, with breakevens aligning with primary targets in the low-$40s/bbl at $800/ft well costs.
  • The Lower Wolfcamp represents nearly 20% of remaining locations in the Delaware, with 56% of that total subject to lagged development sequencing considerations that could affect near-term economics.

EIR’s analysis pulls from a variety of products including Enverus ONE.

You must be an Enverus Intelligence® subscriber to access this report.

Play Fundamentals is an EIR research series that dives into a key geographical basin or technology. As a collective series with each play updated annually, it includes technical research and interactive maps, investment opportunities, benchmarking, macro trends and basin analytics, empowering readers to make intelligent connections and, overall, more informed investment, operating and strategic decisions. It is considered the most in-depth research EIR offers and among the most-read analysis series in the energy industry.

EIR research reports cannot be distributed to members of the media without a scheduled interview. Journalists interested in learning more about this analysis are encouraged to use our Request Media Interview button to schedule a time to meet with one of our expert analysts, who can provide context, insight, and deeper discussion of the findings.

About Enverus Intelligence® Research
Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations and macro-economic forecasts; and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies and capital providers worldwide. Enverus is the most trusted, energy-dedicated SaaS company, with a platform built to create value from generative AI, offering real-time access to analytics, insights and benchmark cost and revenue data sourced from our partnerships to 95% of U.S. energy producers, and more than 40,000 suppliers. Learn more at Enverus.com.

Picture of Jon Haubert

Jon Haubert

Jon Haubert is the communications director at Enverus. Members of the media should use our Request Media Interview option on the Enverus Newsroom page to schedule an interview with one of our expert analysts.

Related News

At the cap, below CONE Why PJM’s capacity market needs a reset
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research finds PJM’s current capacity market may not support financeable new gas generation at today’s capital costs. The report analyzes the capacity-price levels and bilateral contract structures needed to make new CCGT projects viable.

ERCOT Large Load Batch Zero Readiness
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes ERCOT’s Batch Zero large-load qualification, estimating that 55 projects (21.7 GW) are positioned to meet the July 15 requirements while 62 projects (37 GW) are likely deferred to Batch 1+. The report outlines key deadlines, financial-security...

What’s next for the Strait of Hormuz?
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest Strait of Hormuz outlook highlights a stocks-driven “higher for longer” setup, modeling OECD crude and product inventories falling from 2.82 Bbbl (YE25) to a 2.36 Bbbl trough in Q4 2026. The report also flags a potential...

Let’s make a deal Brent upgraded, Henry Hub downgraded
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus’ latest Fundamental Edge report, “Let’s Make a Deal | Brent Upgrade, Henry Downgrade,” raises its 2H26 Brent forecast to $110/bbl on a late-June deal and gradual Strait of Hormuz reopening while maintaining a capped summer Henry Hub outlook and...

Class VI approvals build, submissions slow
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s Class VI Update 1Q26 finds approvals building while submissions slow: three final permits issued in 2026 so far, five draft permits in 1Q26, and active Class VI injection capacity at 5.2 mtpa with forecasts above 100 mtpa...

The Binding Constraint From EUV Machines to Megawatts
News Release
ByJon Haubert

About Enverus Intelligence® Research Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments,...

Time-to-power gap Big generation’s Achilles’ heel in the AI data center race
News Release
ByJon Haubert

AI-driven data center demand is shifting power markets as faster-to-deploy distributed solutions outpace grid infrastructure; Enverus details the time-to-power gap.

Northern Bets On Canada with Parallax Stake
Analyst Takes News Release
ByAndrew Dittmar

Enverus analysts break down Northern Oil and Gas’ Parallax stake and what it reveals about cross-border capital flows and Canada’s competitive energy assets.

Qatari LNG outage shifts global gas market into structural deficit
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Qatari LNG supply disruptions could shift global gas markets into a structural deficit through 2030, with elevated TTF and JKM pricing, intensified Europe-Asia LNG competition and increased strategic value for Pacific-facing export projects, according to Enverus Intelligence® Research.

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business
Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Get Started?