Following the announcement that Ovintiv would acquire NuVisa, Andrew Dittmar, principal analyst at Enverus Intelligence® Research, shared his insights on the deal’s significance:
A wave of consolidation in Canada is continuing as Ovintiv announces the acquisition of NuVista for C$3.8 billion ($2.7 billion). The transaction puts Canadian M&A above C$30 billion since the start of 4Q24, a historic movement of consolidation in the industry. The Montney, and to a lesser extent the Duvernay, have been at the heart of M&A activity. The core strategy in the Montney follows a well-established playbook as resource plays mature. Large operators are using scale and balance sheet strength to expand acreage footprints for efficient development and capture of operational synergies. Ovintiv’s purchase is directly in line with that strategy as there is a hand-in-glove fit between the two acreage positions. That allows for longer laterals and further optimization of infrastructure.
With inventory duration generally healthy for Canadian E&Ps, extending the runway of drilling locations is less of an immediate concern than for Lower 48 oil-focused producers. However, companies are still cognizant of opportunities to high-grade activity and improve capital efficiency. While pricing for inventory in the play lags basins like the Permian and Williston based on price paid versus quality acquired, the gap is narrowing. As the play’s large incumbents come to hold the lion’s share of high-quality locations, a new basin entry is more challenging. Ovintiv’s retention of a legacy Montney position has served the company well in being able to pivot back towards the play and capitalize on the relatively favorable M&A environment for buyers. Combined with its renewed focus on the Montney, the company has been steadily paring back its U.S. exposure outside of the Permian. Ovintiv is planning on divesting its Anadarko Basin assets as a follow on to the NuVista transaction in 2026. That echoes the company’s move when it acquired assets from Paramount Resources while divesting its Uinta position. The Anadarko position is likely to receive robust interest from private buyers, which increasingly control the play as public companies like ConocoPhillips and now Ovintiv choose to exit.
For NuVista, strong buyer appetite for Montney assets and equity outperformance made the timing right to pursue a sale. The company is exiting at its highest share price in 15 years despite weakness in crude. Shareholders will have the election to receive up to 50% of the consideration due to them in cash, a relatively unique position as most corporate deals have been pure stock-for-stock swaps.
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