CALGARY, Alberta (Sept. 13, 2023) — Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS platform, has released its latest FundamentalEdge report focused on global drivers for oil and gas prices to 2030, the five-year oil and gas supply and demand outlook, and price forecasts. For several months, EIR has maintained that Brent prices will reach $100/bbl by the end of this year.
“Fundamental data released prior to our deadline of Aug. 31 has been mixed; however, we are reaffirming our call that Brent prices will reach $100/bbl by the end of this year,” said Al Salazar, senior vice president of EIR.
“We expect U.S. gas storage to continue to align with our 10% hotter-than-normal forecast, reaching 3.7 Tcf by the end of the injection season.”
Key takeaways:
- EIR maintains the call that Brent prices will reach $100/bbl by the end of the year despite mixed fundamental data.
- Our price call is contingent on three conditions: 1) Improving global economic sentiment, 2) OPEC adherence to stated cuts, and 3) Consistent OECD crude and product stock draws at or above 1.0 MMbbl/d or more.
- Gas fired generation is driving gas demand, up ~ 4 Bcf/d Y/Y, offsetting weaker coal, hydro and wind generation.
- EIR forecasts gas prices to remain rangebound between $2.50-$3.00/MMBtu for the remainder of the summer. As for winter, we expect prices to trade between $3.00-$3.50/MMBtu.
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About Enverus Intelligence Research
Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations and macro-economic forecasts; and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies and capital providers worldwide.
