News Release

Electric vehicles expected to displace 2.7 MMbbl of oil per day by 2030

Market share growth in Europe, China and adoption of California targets in more than 20 U.S. states jumpstarts visible impacts

byEnverus
March 7, 2023

CALGARY, Alberta (March 7, 2023) — Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the leading global energy data analytics and SaaS technology company, has released an updated electric vehicle (EV) outlook outlining the energy impacts from EV adoption, including light-duty vehicle fuel demand and regional gasoline displacement.

“EV market share growth in Europe and China is significantly outperforming expectations,” said Carson Kearl, an associate at EIR. “U.S. adoption will be strongly supported as over 20 states have committed to California’s adoption targets.”

Key takeaways from the report:

  • EIR sees the global share of EVs as a proportion of total new car and light truck sales hitting 65% by 2030 and 85% by 2035. Combining EV sales already representing over 10% of new vehicle purchases worldwide with improving fuel efficiency standards, peak gasoline demand is on the horizon, according to EIR projections.
  • This adoption forecast implies the displacement of 2.7 MMbbl/d of liquid fuels in 2030 and 5.2 MMbbl/d in 2035, presenting a major driver of EIR’s peak oil demand thesis, which sees global oil demand cresting sometime in the latter half of this decade. EIR sees EVs displacing 0.75 and 1.5 MMbbl/d of liquid fuels in the U.S. and China by 2030, respectively.
  • Affordability in terms of cost breakevens for EVs has improved markedly since EIR’s last forecast; EV models are available in every class of car and light truck that break even within three years of purchase.

Members of the media should contact Jon Haubert to schedule an interview with one of Enverus’ expert analysts.

About Enverus
Enverus is the leading energy SaaS company delivering highly-technical insights and predictive/prescriptive analytics that empower customers to make decisions that increase profit. Enverus’ innovative technologies drive production and investment strategies, enable best practices for energy and commodity trading and risk management, and reduce costs through automated processes across critical business functions. Enverus is a strategic partner to more than 6,000 customers in 50 countries. Learn more at Enverus.com.

About Enverus Intelligence Research
Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is a subsidiary of Enverus and publishes energy-sector research that focuses on the oil and natural gas industries and broader energy topics including publicly traded and privately held oil, gas, midstream and other energy industry companies, basin studies (including characteristics, activity, infrastructure, etc.), commodity pricing forecasts, global macroeconomics and geopolitical matters.

Media Contact: Jon Haubert | 303.396.5996

Picture of Enverus

Enverus

Energy’s most trusted SaaS platform — creating intelligent connections that uncover insights and opportunities to deliver extraordinary outcomes.

Related News

EIR forecasts modest impact on U.S. natural gas demand from data center expansion
News Release
ByEnverus
December 3, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research forecasts more conservative U.S. data center load growth, citing stricter utility requirements and policy changes that have reduced speculative projects and reshaped the outlook for natural gas demand.

Enverus unveils 2025 winter power outlook, spotlights renewables and market shifts
News Release
ByEnverus
December 2, 2025

Enverus releases its 2025 Winter Power Market Outlook, highlighting growth in solar and battery storage, key policy shifts, and actionable forecasts for North American power markets.

Distributed generation The turbines are coming
News Release
ByEnverus
November 26, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research reveals how distributed generation and behind-the-meter power are accelerating to meet hyperscale data center demand amid grid delays and infrastructure bottlenecks.

Utilities reshape rate structures amid data center boom
News Release
ByEnverus
November 25, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research reveals how U.S. utilities are reshaping rate structures and interconnection requirements to manage the surge in data center demand, with new tariffs driving down speculative proposals and enabling significant cost savings for flexible operators.

ERCOT battery profits drop as market saturation reshapes Texas storage
News Release
ByEnverus
November 19, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes how battery saturation and shifting operator strategies are driving a sharp decline in ERCOT battery storage profits, revealing key trends and future market challenges for Texas’s energy sector.

Thanks to solar and nuclear, U.S. power generation to grow 57% by 2050
News Release
ByEnverus
November 18, 2025

A new Enverus Intelligence® Research report forecasts 57% growth in U.S. power grid capacity by 2050, highlighting the transition to solar energy, nuclear power, and renewable energy as coal retires. Discover key trends, regional impacts, and technology shifts shaping the...

Baytex Energy Becomes Pure-Play Canadian Producer with $2.3B Eagle Ford Exit
Analyst Takes News Release
ByDrew Depoe
November 12, 2025

Following Baytex Energy’s announcement to exit the Eagle Ford through a $2.3 billion (C$3.25 billion) asset sale, Drew Depoe, Senior Analyst at Enverus Intelligence® Research, offered perspective on the strategic implications of the deal.

EIR adjusts Brent forecast due to expected stock surge
News Release
ByEnverus
November 12, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research revises its Brent and Henry Hub forecasts downward for 2026, citing inventory surpluses and muted demand. LNG prices remain resilient despite oversupply concerns.

Global gas, LNG, Haynesville and Permian outlooks reveal key trends in production, pricing and infrastructure expansion
News Release
ByEnverus
November 5, 2025

Explore new Enverus Intelligence® Research reports on global gas demand, LNG market resilience, Haynesville drilling efficiency, and Permian pipeline expansions.

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business

Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Sign up for our Blog

Register Today

Sign Up

Power Your Insights

Connect with an Expert

Access Product Tour

Speak to an Expert