News Release

Electric vehicles expected to displace 2.7 MMbbl of oil per day by 2030

Market share growth in Europe, China and adoption of California targets in more than 20 U.S. states jumpstarts visible impacts

byEnverus
March 7, 2023

CALGARY, Alberta (March 7, 2023) — Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the leading global energy data analytics and SaaS technology company, has released an updated electric vehicle (EV) outlook outlining the energy impacts from EV adoption, including light-duty vehicle fuel demand and regional gasoline displacement.

“EV market share growth in Europe and China is significantly outperforming expectations,” said Carson Kearl, an associate at EIR. “U.S. adoption will be strongly supported as over 20 states have committed to California’s adoption targets.”

Key takeaways from the report:

  • EIR sees the global share of EVs as a proportion of total new car and light truck sales hitting 65% by 2030 and 85% by 2035. Combining EV sales already representing over 10% of new vehicle purchases worldwide with improving fuel efficiency standards, peak gasoline demand is on the horizon, according to EIR projections.
  • This adoption forecast implies the displacement of 2.7 MMbbl/d of liquid fuels in 2030 and 5.2 MMbbl/d in 2035, presenting a major driver of EIR’s peak oil demand thesis, which sees global oil demand cresting sometime in the latter half of this decade. EIR sees EVs displacing 0.75 and 1.5 MMbbl/d of liquid fuels in the U.S. and China by 2030, respectively.
  • Affordability in terms of cost breakevens for EVs has improved markedly since EIR’s last forecast; EV models are available in every class of car and light truck that break even within three years of purchase.

Members of the media should contact Jon Haubert to schedule an interview with one of Enverus’ expert analysts.

About Enverus
Enverus is the leading energy SaaS company delivering highly-technical insights and predictive/prescriptive analytics that empower customers to make decisions that increase profit. Enverus’ innovative technologies drive production and investment strategies, enable best practices for energy and commodity trading and risk management, and reduce costs through automated processes across critical business functions. Enverus is a strategic partner to more than 6,000 customers in 50 countries. Learn more at Enverus.com.

About Enverus Intelligence Research
Enverus Intelligence Research, Inc. is a subsidiary of Enverus and publishes energy-sector research that focuses on the oil and natural gas industries and broader energy topics including publicly traded and privately held oil, gas, midstream and other energy industry companies, basin studies (including characteristics, activity, infrastructure, etc.), commodity pricing forecasts, global macroeconomics and geopolitical matters.

Media Contact: Jon Haubert | 303.396.5996

Picture of Enverus

Enverus

Energy’s most trusted SaaS platform — creating intelligent connections that uncover insights and opportunities to deliver extraordinary outcomes.

Related News

Mauritania and Senegal Opportunities and challenges in Africa’s forgotten hot spot
News Release
ByEnverus
December 30, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research explores the Mauritania–Senegal Basin’s untapped potential and investment challenges, highlighting opportunities for agile independents amid shifting market dynamics.

Libyin’ la vida loca New bid round and fiscal reforms attract global energy investors
News Release
ByEnverus
December 23, 2025

Explore how Libya’s 2025 bid round, improved fiscal terms, and vast resource potential are attracting global energy investors. Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes the opportunities and risks in its latest energy market report.

Permian and coastal gas pipeline buildout key to meeting surging U.S. LNG export demand
News Release
ByEnverus
December 17, 2025

New Enverus Intelligence® Research reveals how Permian Basin gas and pipeline expansion are critical to meeting surging U.S. LNG export demand, highlighting the urgent need for expanded Gulf Coast infrastructure as feedgas demand outpaces supply growth.

Henry's bullish enthusiasm premature
News Release
ByEnverus
December 16, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s new Fundamental Edge report forecasts major shifts in global oil and gas markets for 2026, including Brent crude price outlooks, OPEC production trends, and LNG market momentum.

Enverus AI Powering the next era of energy intelligence
News Release
ByEnverus
December 10, 2025

Enverus, the leading energy SaaS and analytics platform, today unveiled Enverus AI, a secure, purpose-built system that transforms AI's vast potential into measurable results for energy workflows.

Enverus appoints Matt Johnson as president and CRO
News Release
ByEnverus
December 9, 2025

Enverus appoints Matt Johnson as President and Chief Revenue Officer (CRO), accelerating its AI-first strategy to lead the future of energy intelligence.

Antero Swaps Utica for Marcellus with HG Buy, Divestment to Infinity
Analyst Takes News Release
ByAndrew Dittmar
December 8, 2025

Antero Resources reshapes its Appalachian portfolio with a $2.8B Marcellus acquisition from HG Energy and a $1.2B Utica divestment to Infinity, signaling bullish momentum for natural gas M&A.

EIR forecasts modest impact on U.S. natural gas demand from data center expansion
News Release
ByEnverus
December 3, 2025

Enverus Intelligence® Research forecasts more conservative U.S. data center load growth, citing stricter utility requirements and policy changes that have reduced speculative projects and reshaped the outlook for natural gas demand.

Enverus unveils 2025 winter power outlook, spotlights renewables and market shifts
News Release
ByEnverus
December 2, 2025

Enverus releases its 2025 Winter Power Market Outlook, highlighting growth in solar and battery storage, key policy shifts, and actionable forecasts for North American power markets.

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business

Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Register Today

Sign Up

Power Your Insights

Connect with an Expert

Access Product Tour

Speak to an Expert