News Release

Duvernay forecasted to reach 200 Mbbl/d by 2030 as Willesden Green ramps up

Additional production could meet ~20% of incremental condensate demand from the oil sands by 2030

byEnverus

CALGARY, Alberta (Oct. 28, 2025) Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company that leverages generative AI across its solutions, released a report today that explores the production outlook and operator activity for the Duvernay shale in Alberta. The report highlights the emergence of Willesden Green as a key growth engine for liquids-rich development.

“Willesden Green is quickly becoming the most important region for growth in the Duvernay,” said Chayse Hnatowich, associate at EIR. “Its potential to deliver high liquids cuts and scale development makes it a strategic asset for meeting future condensate demand.”

Key Takeaways:

  • Duvernay wellhead liquids production is forecast to grow ~70% to 200 Mbbl/d by 2030, with Willesden Green contributing half of that growth.

  • Willesden Green breakeven economics range from $45 to $55/bbl WTI, with wells in the oil window showing the strongest economics.

  • Ongoing delineation drilling has proven up a significant amount of inventory in Willesden Green, with some operators adding over 80% more economically viable locations year-over-year.
Enverus Intelligence Research: Duvernay Historical and Forecast Liquids Growth by Type

EIR’s analysis pulls from a variety of products including Enverus FOUNDATIONS® and  Enverus Forecast Analytics.

You must be an Enverus Intelligence® subscriber to access this report

About Enverus Intelligence® Research
Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations and macro-economic forecasts; and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies and capital providers worldwide. Enverus is the most trusted, energy-dedicated SaaS company, with a platform built to create value from generative AI, offering real-time access to analytics, insights and benchmark cost and revenue data sourced from our partnerships to 95% of U.S. energy producers, and more than 40,000 suppliers. Learn more at Enverus.com.

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