News Release

Duvernay forecasted to reach 200 Mbbl/d by 2030 as Willesden Green ramps up

Additional production could meet ~20% of incremental condensate demand from the oil sands by 2030

byEnverus

CALGARY, Alberta (Oct. 28, 2025) Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company that leverages generative AI across its solutions, released a report today that explores the production outlook and operator activity for the Duvernay shale in Alberta. The report highlights the emergence of Willesden Green as a key growth engine for liquids-rich development.

“Willesden Green is quickly becoming the most important region for growth in the Duvernay,” said Chayse Hnatowich, associate at EIR. “Its potential to deliver high liquids cuts and scale development makes it a strategic asset for meeting future condensate demand.”

Key Takeaways:

  • Duvernay wellhead liquids production is forecast to grow ~70% to 200 Mbbl/d by 2030, with Willesden Green contributing half of that growth.

  • Willesden Green breakeven economics range from $45 to $55/bbl WTI, with wells in the oil window showing the strongest economics.

  • Ongoing delineation drilling has proven up a significant amount of inventory in Willesden Green, with some operators adding over 80% more economically viable locations year-over-year.
Enverus Intelligence Research: Duvernay Historical and Forecast Liquids Growth by Type

EIR’s analysis pulls from a variety of products including Enverus FOUNDATIONS® and  Enverus Forecast Analytics.

You must be an Enverus Intelligence® subscriber to access this report

About Enverus Intelligence® Research
Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations and macro-economic forecasts; and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies and capital providers worldwide. Enverus is the most trusted, energy-dedicated SaaS company, with a platform built to create value from generative AI, offering real-time access to analytics, insights and benchmark cost and revenue data sourced from our partnerships to 95% of U.S. energy producers, and more than 40,000 suppliers. Learn more at Enverus.com.

Picture of Enverus

Enverus

Energy’s most trusted SaaS platform — creating intelligent connections that uncover insights and opportunities to deliver extraordinary outcomes.

Related News

Enverus acquires A2D well log library from TGS, connecting subsurface data to energy decision workflows
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus acquires the world's largest well log library from TGS, connecting three decades of subsurface data, formation tops and petrophysics to production, completions and economics workflows.

U.S. natural gas prices face power demand drag
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence Research says U.S. natural gas prices face pressure as power demand underperforms, while LNG exports remain the key offset to resilient supply.

Enverus ranks top U.S. private E&P operators
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus released its annual Top 100 Private E&P Operators list, ranking U.S. private oil and gas producers by production, well count and rig activity.

Enverus acquires PDS exchange assets, expanding its operating network across U.S. energy markets
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus acquires four PDS Energy Information exchange platforms, expanding secure data exchange for completions, well, production and water data.

800 VDC rewrites AI data center power economics
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes how 800 VDC architecture could lower AI data center electrical capex, improve facility efficiency and reduce copper intensity.

Enverus cuts U.S. EV adoption forecast due to federal policy changes and slower market growth
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest EV forecast shows how slower U.S. adoption after federal tax credit changes shifts grid load timing, regional ISO exposure and ICE vehicle displacement through 2035.

At the cap, below CONE Why PJM’s capacity market needs a reset
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research finds PJM’s current capacity market may not support financeable new gas generation at today’s capital costs. The report analyzes the capacity-price levels and bilateral contract structures needed to make new CCGT projects viable.

ERCOT Large Load Batch Zero Readiness
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes ERCOT’s Batch Zero large-load qualification, estimating that 55 projects (21.7 GW) are positioned to meet the July 15 requirements while 62 projects (37 GW) are likely deferred to Batch 1+. The report outlines key deadlines, financial-security...

What’s next for the Strait of Hormuz?
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest Strait of Hormuz outlook highlights a stocks-driven “higher for longer” setup, modeling OECD crude and product inventories falling from 2.82 Bbbl (YE25) to a 2.36 Bbbl trough in Q4 2026. The report also flags a potential...

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business
Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Get Started?