Energy Analytics Power and Renewables

Why ERCOT Outage Scares Are Vexing Texas in Mild Weather

byScott Bruns

The threats of ERCOT power blackouts are emerging again this spring, just two months after millions of Texans survived freezing temperatures without heat or power during extended blackouts in February 2021.

On Tuesday, April 13, Texas’ power grid again faced failure as extended maintenance work and unseasonable weather patterns brought typical supply levels lower. ERCOT called for power conservation, and averted crisis by the evening, rescinding the request.

By Wednesday, April 14, Texas was again at risk for blackouts due to power supply issues. ERCOT declared it would be “capacity insufficient” from 1-8 p.m CDT. This means ERCOT does not have enough reserves and will ask people in Texas to conserve power again.

Today's Outlook - Current Demand

This is being caused by a weather pattern that is unusually warm for this time of year in South Texas. The results: strong demand and on-peak wind generation that is 6.5 gigawatts, compared with average April wind generation of 11 gigawatts. Solar generation was also lower. It hit only 38% during peak load on April 14, while the average is 72%.

Sign up for power and renewables updates and news

The weather isn’t totally to blame for the power supply issues, of course. The large number of units that are offline for maintenance following the winter storm is also driving this shortage. The reported telemetered outages on April 14 is 21.1 gigawatts, where normally ERCOT would be measuring around 14.5 gigawatts of outages in ERCOT for the third week of April.

Want to learn more from our experts about the stability of the ERCOT grid for summer 2021? Sign up today for our complimentary webinar: ERCOT Outage Deep Dive & Summer 2021 Outlook.

Web presentation - ERCOT Outage Deep Dive and Summer 2021 Outlook

Picture of Scott Bruns

Scott Bruns

Scott D Bruns is the Director of Power Markets at Enverus, leading the research division who specialize in analyzing large datasets for informed decision-making. As an expert in the ERCOT market, he provides comprehensive reports on market trends for various stakeholders. Leveraging his background in power trading and asset management, Scott contributes to the development of innovative SaaS products and offers expertise on US power market fundamentals. As an Enverus spokesperson, he guides clients in asset siting, trading optimization, and investment decisions. Prior to joining Enverus, Scott traded power and provided in fundamental analysis at Direct Energy. He holds a bachelor’s degree in mathematics from the University of Houston. When not obsessed with power markets, Scott spends time with his family who provide the inspiration for all his efforts.

Subscribe to the Enverus Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Related Content

Blackstone announces agreement to acquire Enverus
Energy Analytics
ByAmyra Mardhani, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

Gevo recently announced the sale of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) credits from its North Dakota facility for the first time, following the acquisition of an ethanol plant with carbon capture capabilities nearly a year ago. This is one of several...

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Waha prices expected to go negative (again)
Midstream
ByEnverus

Midstream is caught between a rock and a hard place. On one hand, gathering and pipeline operators, processors, storage and energy marketers face abundant opportunities and challenges when meeting customer demand.

Enverus Press Release - Speed through records with Enverus Instant Analyst™ - Courthouse
Midstream
ByDaniel Steffy

Let’s be honest:How many spreadsheets are you using to forecast production? If the answer is more than one, you’re not alone — and you might be stuck in what many teams experience as spreadsheet chaos. Every team has their own...

Enverus Intelligence Research Press Release - Upstream M&A sails to $17 billion in 1Q25
Energy Transition
ByAdam Robinson, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

The White House recently released its AI Action Plan, a broad policy roadmap designed to cement American leadership in artificial intelligence. The plan includes sweeping executive orders aimed at removing regulatory barriers to accelerate infrastructure development, particularly in energy and...

Enverus_Press_Release_Power_Energy_Transition_MandA_Thumbnail
Energy Transition
ByAdam Robinson, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

A combined $92 billion in energy and artificial intelligence (AI)-related investments were announced across Pennsylvania last week, with projects ranging from new data centers to natural gas plants and grid modernization efforts.

Enverus Press Release - Welcome to EVOLVE 2025: Where visionaries converge to shape the future of energy
Power and Renewables
ByColton Wright

As demand for AI, cloud computing and digital infrastructure continues to surge, hyperscale data centers have quickly become some of the largest and fastest-growing energy consumers in North America. For developers, grid operators and investors, knowing where the biggest loads are concentrated...

Breaking news alert on the impact on oil prices due to Israel attacking Iran
Power and Renewables
ByColton Wright

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) has changed the game for renewable energy developers. With fewer subsidies to fall back on, developers are being pushed to rethink where and how they build projects. It’s no longer about chasing tax...

Enverus Intelligence Research Press Release - Upstream M&A sails to $17 billion in 1Q25
Power and Renewables
ByPascale Abou Moussa

Have you ever wanted to instantly move, add or delete structures in your solar designs and get real-time data about how those adjustments affect your DC output? Do you wish you could reposition roads and electrical routes or play with...

Enverus Press Release - Enverus releases Investor Analytics: Refined, actionable financial insights at your fingertips
Power and Renewables
ByDaniel Manfre Jaimes

In the dynamic landscape of energy markets, accurate load forecasting is essential for informed decision-making. Enverus power forecasting solutions have consistently demonstrated exceptional performance, particularly during extreme weather events and critical peak demand periods. Complementing this reliability, our ongoing commitment...

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Sign up for our Blog

Register Today

Sign Up

Power Your Insights

Connect with an Expert

Access Product Tour

Speak to an Expert