5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

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As we saw in Murray Roth’s last blog post, the Bakken Shale formation is a complex geological giant.

Operators have unlocked this play’s potential through extensive science, analysis and – sometimes – luck. As positive results continue to roll in throughout the region, many are applying advanced techniques to explore the ancillary Three Forks play as well.

Tony Robbins once said, “Success leaves clues.”

If that is true, then we know if we want to be successful, we can simply apply the best practices of the most successful people in our field and similar results should follow.

This is especially true in oil and gas.

If you’re exploring an area as complex as the Bakken Shale, the best thing you can do is look at how top operators do things. In the process, you will more than likely uncover ways to get the most out of your rock.

To that end, here are 5 top Bakken Shale operators that are getting the most out of the ground today.

#1 Continental Resources

Continental has 1.2 MM net acres in the Bakken. They released their 2014 plans for this large acreage position in September of this year.

  • The company plans to increase its operated rig count from 20 to 21 in 2013
  • 300 net Bakken Shale well completions planned in 2014
  • Continental will continue de-risk its lower Three Forks potential productive footprint

The company’s recent results show Bakken production at 88,000 Barrels of Oil Per Day (BOEPD) in 2Q13, a 14% increase from the preceding quarter. Their new 2013 Year end completed well cost (CWC) goal is $8.0MM or less. Continental’s CWC was around $9.2MM less than a year ago.

On the Three Forks: Continental is finding structural/tectonic influences along the Nesson anticline cause production interference between wells. The Colter Unit Lower Three Forks testing in Dunn County proved benches under these conditions communicated (Figure 1). The company continues to delineate its 3,800 square mile potential productive footprint.

 5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

Figure 1. Source: Continental Resources October 2013 Investor Presentation

#2 EOG Resources

EOG has ~90,000 net acres in the Bakken Shale core area. The company is currently developing with 160 acre spacing. EOG plans to complete 53 net wells this year and will increase activity in 2014.

Recent results indicate the company has 940 million barrels of oil (MMBO) average gross estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) per well in their Bakken Shale core and Antelope areas. EOG’s 160-acre spacing strategy seems to be paying off. The company has had strong initial production (IP) rates in their core area. Two stand-outs include the Parshall 25-303H and Van Hook 29-1113H, which flowed at 2,685 BOPD and 2,390 BOPD respectively.

#3 Whiting Petroleum Corporation

Whiting recently acquired 17,282 net acres, bringing its total in the Williston Basin to 714,541 net acres. The company has staked out its largest position in the “Lewis and Clark” where they are targeting the Three Forks formation (Figure 2).

Recent Results:

  • Thanks to new techniques the company used during its completion of the Tescher State 11-25PH well, it flowed at a 24-hour IP rate of 1,098 BOEPD
  • Horizontal completed well costs in the Lewis and Clark are $7.0 MM
  • In Whiting’s Western Williston areas, they are targeting both the Three Forks and the Bakken Shale with 4 and 3 wells per 1,280-acre drilling spacing unit (DSU) respectively.
 5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

Figure 2. Source: Whiting Petroleum JP Morgan technical Presentation 2013

#4 Hess Corporation

Hess has 640,000 net acres in the Bakken Shale and is running a 14 rig program this year. Hess has found a way to drastically reduce its well costs. Drilling and completion costs are down from $13.4MM in 1Q12 to $8.4MM in 2Q13 (Figure3).

 5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

Figure 3. Hess Corporation Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference September 2013

Recent Bakken Results:

  • Net production of 64-70 MBOED in 2013
  • 2013 30 day IPs: 750-850 BOED
  • 2013 EURs: 600,000-650,000 BOE
  • Estimated recoverable resource is larger than 1 BBOE

#5 Kodiak Oil and Gas

Kodiak has 196,000 net acres in the Williston basin and plans to operate 7 rigs in the area in 2013. The company says most of its acreage should be held by production (HBP) by the end of this year. Kodiak is running a pilot program analyzing 12 wells per 1,280-acre DSU in their Polar and Smokey projects. The results have been positive as the wells have flowed at an average 24-hr. IP rate of 2,549 BOED (Figure 4).

 5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

Figure 4. Source: Kodiak Oil and Gas Corporate Presentation October 2013

A Look at Top Bakken Shale Operators from within DI Analytics

Now that you know the latest on 5 top Bakken Shale producers, here’s a look at how they stack-up from within DI Analytics. This is a snapshot of production over time, looking specifically at peak months of production (MaxIP) and well count by quarter since 2004.

 5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

Figure 5. Source: DI Analytics

It would be easy to look at these charts and conclude there isn’t much correlation between the number of wells and maximum initial production (MaxIP). However, there is more going on here than meets the eye.

For example, if you look at EOG’s well count in the top right corner you notice a large spike, followed by an equally large drop, spike, drop, spike and finally a steady decline. Looking at the production, it peaked right before the well count dropped off. It then rises and falls with the well count until something very interesting happens – there is an almost inverse relationship between well count and MaxIP beginning in Q2 2011.

So what’s going on here?

A likely explanation is that they were working an area of the Bakken and got it fully developed by late 2008. As a result, they packed up shop and headed to new territory. But the best practices from the previous area didn’t create the production they were looking for. So they moved again, began developing the area and eventually found the best way to maximize that particular rock. In other words, they “cracked the Bakken Shale code.”

But what was the combination to the safe?

Well, you can only speculate at this point. They either moved into better acreage, figured out how to maximize their wells regardless of the acreage quality – or a combination of both. But the beautiful thing is that if you have the right Drillinginfo subscription level, you can dig into all of the other analytics resources available on the platform, combine them with the detailed completion data you can find in Drillinginfo and start to solve the riddle for your own reservoir.

Which brings up an interesting question – If you don’t have access to DI Analytics, how could you make another multi-million dollar shale decision without it?

Then again, I might be slightly biased. That is my team, after all.

Your Turn

What do you think? What do you see when you look at these findings? Does EOG’s inversion really show they’ve got the “secret sauce”? Or does it demonstrate something else? And what do you make of XTO’s slow and steady straight line across the board? Please chime in in the comments below!

 5 Top Bakken Shale Producers – What’s their Secret?

 

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Elizabeth Lipps

Elizabeth Lipps is a Research Associate on the DI Analytics team. She tracks industry trends and data to help keep Drillinginfo clients up-to-date on everything happening in E&P and midstream. Elizabeth is working on her Masters of Applied Geography in GIScience and will complete her studies in Spring 2014.