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What’s next for the Strait of Hormuz?

What’s next for the Strait of Hormuz?

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest Strait of Hormuz outlook highlights a stocks-driven “higher for longer” setup, modeling OECD crude and product inventories falling from 2.82 Bbbl (YE25) to a 2.36 Bbbl trough in Q4 2026. The report also flags a potential $5–$10/bbl geopolitical risk premium that could remain embedded in Brent even as flows gradually normalize.

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Let’s make a deal Brent upgraded, Henry Hub downgraded

Let’s make a deal: Brent upgraded, Henry Hub downgraded

Enverus’ latest Fundamental Edge report, “Let’s Make a Deal | Brent Upgrade, Henry Downgrade,” raises its 2H26 Brent forecast to $110/bbl on a late-June deal and gradual Strait of Hormuz reopening while maintaining a capped summer Henry Hub outlook and lowering its 2027 Henry Hub forecast to $3.50/MMBtu. The report also outlines implications for inventories, U.S. supply response and global LNG balances.

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