Trading & Risk

Solar Save | Court Halts EPA Program Repeal

byAlex Nevokshonoff, Senior Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor
Residential Solar Additions by Load Zone | Source: EIR

Last week, a federal judge ruled the EPA unlawfully terminated its Solar for All program, which was designed to expand solar access in lower-income communities. The judge found the agency’s action violated the Administrative Procedure Act, rejecting the EPA’s claim that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act authorized it to cancel the $7 billion program. The EPA had estimated that the program would reach more than 900,000 lower-income households.

Solar for All was part of the $27 billion Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund created under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). The remaining $20 billion, allocated to other grant programs, is subject to separate litigation and was not directly affected by this ruling. The EPA is reviewing the decision and considering an appeal.

The ruling marks a legal setback for the EPA as it continues to roll back emissions standards elsewhere, including its recent partial repeal of carbon pollution standards for fossil fuel-fired power plants. Annual rooftop solar installations, currently around 7 GW, are forecast to reach 8 GW by 2030, with growth depending partly on incentives such as Solar for All. Vacating the program’s termination removes one legal obstacle to that growth and suggests some IRA incentives may prove more durable than the Trump administration expected.

This blog offers just a glimpse of the powerful analysis Power and Energy Transition Research delivers on the trending themes. Don’t miss the full picture.

Research Highlights:

  • 3Q26 Long-Term Capacity Expansion – The Reliability-Led Power Buildout – Enverus Intelligence® Research projects a storage-led buildout of the Lower 48 power supply through 2050, with 1,080 GW of new capacity lifting installed capacity from 1,435 GW to 2,284 GW. Battery storage, solar and natural gas lead additions, but the path diverges sharply by region as some markets scale renewables while others lean on gas and nuclear. Falling geothermal and nuclear costs and rising gas capex reshape where each technology wins.
  • ERCOT Batch Zero – Who Gets Energized, Who Waits? – ERCOT’s Batch Zero classification gives large-load developers a sense of their path to energization, but certainty remains limited. We find that only 8.8 GW of the 191.8 GW classified is associated with published near-term Quarterly Stability Assessment deadlines, while the largest and least visible projects face additional study and transmission uncertainty.
  • Grid Supply Chain Risk – Few Suppliers, Many Developers Exposed – EIR provides a data-driven analysis of the grid equipment, manufacturers and developers most exposed to Executive Order 14421 restrictions on foreign-produced bulk-power-system equipment.

Solar panels generally lose power as their cells heat up. Crystalline silicon has a negative power-temperature coefficient, so a hot panel can produce less instantaneous power than an otherwise identical, cooler panel, even if the cooler panel is receiving slightly less sunlight. This is one reason extremely hot desert sites do not always deliver the highest instantaneous efficiency. Nevertheless, deserts often produce more energy over a year because their stronger solar resource and clearer skies usually outweigh heat-related losses.

Top Three Takeaways:

1: Why did a federal judge block the EPA’s repeal of the Solar for
All program?

A federal judge ruled that the EPA unlawfully terminated Solar for All, finding the agency’s action violated the Administrative Procedure Act. The judge rejected the EPA’s argument that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act authorized it to cancel the $7 billion program, which the EPA had estimated would reach more than 900,000 lower-income households.

2: What is the Solar for All program and how does it connect to the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund?

Solar for All was part of the $27 billion Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund created under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. It was designed to expand solar access in lower-income communities, with $7 billion allocated specifically to this program while the remaining $20 billion supports other grant programs currently facing separate litigation.

3: What does this ruling mean for rooftop solar growth through 2030?

Annual rooftop solar installations, currently around 7 GW, are forecast to reach 8 GW by 2030, with growth depending partly on incentives such as Solar for All. Vacating the program’s termination removes one legal obstacle to that growth and suggests some IRA incentives may prove more durable than the Trump administration expected.

About Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR)

Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations, and macroeconomic forecasts and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies, and capital providers worldwide. See additional disclosures here.

Picture of Alex Nevokshonoff, Senior Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

Alex Nevokshonoff, Senior Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

Alex joined Enverus in April 2022 as a member of the CCUS team before shifting coverage to Low Carbon Fuels with an initial emphasis on hydrogen. He holds a degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Calgary, which he earned in 2020. Prior to joining Enverus, he completed a 12-month internship and gained two years of post-graduate experience at Canadian Natural Resources Limited, where he worked at their Horizon Oilsands Plant. Alex is based in Enverus' Calgary office.

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