Trading and Risk

Chum Salmon Operations, La Nina Bullish for 2020 BPA Hydro

byRob Allerman

The Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) Columbia River System is most known for marketing the power in one of the world’s largest hydroelectric systems, but that’s not all.

Since the passage of the 1980 Northwest Power Planning and Conservation Act, BPA is responsible for supporting fish and wildlife conservation programs. In early October water levels are near average, but water levels surge as BPA moves water out of the Grand Coulee Dam to support salmon spawning further down the Columbia River the first week of November. Enverus Power Intelligence Columbia River Forecast shows hydro-generation will rise between 2,000-3,000 megawatts as a result of rising water levels.

BPA Columbia River Hydro-Generation to Sustain High Levels Through December

Chum salmon spawning grounds will be high and dry for much of October but will be flooded once water moves out of Grand Coulee Dam along the river to below the Bonneville Dam in early November. This operation will continue through December – and allow these fish to spawn.

Every November dating back to 2000, the BPA and other federal agencies increase Columbia River water levels below Bonneville Dam to ensure the nests where female Chum deposit their eggs remain covered by water. This requires releasing water from reservoirs as far away as Hungry Horse and Libby dams in Montana, more than 850 river-miles upriver from Bonneville Dam.

In addition, La Nina conditions are expected this fall and into the winter. La Nina brings above average precipitation into the N.W. which results in above average hydro-generation through the winter and into the spring.

Dig Deeper into Enverus’ PRT Pacific N.W. Hydrogeneration Daily Forecasts

The information and analysis the Enverus Trading & Risk Team produces on hydro-generation and the ever-changing Columbia River is available via the PRT Pacific N.W. Hydrogeneration daily report.

PRT Power Analytics’ hydro-generation report is unique in its offerings – nobody in the market does hydro better as I do, after all I worked at BPA as a hydro-generation planner. Sign up for a free trial and see the difference for yourself.

Picture of Rob Allerman

Rob Allerman

Rob Allerman is Senior Director of Power Analytics at Enverus. Before joining Enverus, Rob was Head of North America Power Analytics at EDF Power Trading in Houston, Texas, and spent many years as a power analyst at Deutsche Bank. Rob also worked in the western U.S. for nearly 10 years at Power Utilities and started his career as a Hydrologist for the Federal Government.

Subscribe to the Enverus Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Related Content

Enverus Press Release - OFS prices expected to bottom out by year’s end
Energy Market Wrap
ByEnverus

War volatility boosts DUC activity, Permian Resources sustains strong wells, Repsol plans major U.S. investment, Infinity strengthens liquidity, and IOG launches a PRB JV.

Enverus Media Advisory - Trump vs. Harris: A tale of two energy policies
Energy Transition
ByCarson Kearl, Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR) Contributor

The scrapping of a planned 600 MW expansion at the Stargate data center in Abilene, Texas, serves as a reminder that large load interconnection queues continue to be inflated.

Enverus Press Release - Enverus releases Investor Analytics: Refined, actionable financial insights at your fingertips
Trading and Risk
ByCarl Larry

Explore data-driven natural gas risk management strategies to navigate market volatility and protect your margins in 2026.

Enverus Press Release - E&Ps with natural gas + CCS pave way for model data center development
Analyst Takes Trading and Risk
ByEnverus

Learn about the impact of Middle East energy disruptions on oil supply and global markets. Stay informed with Enverus Intelligence® Research.

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - The data center decade has arrived
Power and Renewables
ByJuan Arteaga, Principal Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® Research

From Pilot Programs to Grid‑Scale Assets The transition toward a decentralized grid has moved beyond localized experiments into a coordinated regulatory and technical effort to harness the sleeping giant of residential capacity. Across North America, Independent System Operators (ISOs) and...

Enverus Press Release - Renewable diesel: Too much of a good thing?
Energy Transition
ByAdam Robinson, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

Controlled Thermal Resources goes public, marking a pivotal moment for geothermal energy investment in the U.S. and its future growth.

Enverus Press Release - Welcome to EVOLVE 2025: Where visionaries converge to shape the future of energy
Energy Market Wrap
ByEnverus

Diamondback boosts drilling efficiency, Chord scales four‑mile laterals, Expand Energy cuts Haynesville breakevens, Diversified buys East Texas assets, and Bay du Nord progresses.

Iran risks and supply outages buoy prices, but surplus remains
Analyst Takes Trading and Risk
ByAl Salazar, Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR) Contributor

Learn about the impact of Middle East energy disruptions on oil supply and global markets. Stay informed with Enverus Intelligence® Research.

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Recap: How the Trump Administration is reshaping energy markets
Energy Market Wrap
ByEnverus

Diamondback boosts drilling efficiency, Chord scales four‑mile laterals, Expand Energy cuts Haynesville breakevens, Diversified buys East Texas assets, and Bay du Nord progresses.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Get Started?

Ready to Subscribe?

Sign Up

Power Your Insights