Power & Renewables

It’s Getting Hot in Here | Heat Dome in PJM

byCorianna Mah, Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® Research
PJM Heat Dome Impact - June 22

A massive heat dome swept across the eastern U.S. last week, driving temperatures into the triple digits and pushing the PJM Interconnection grid to its highest peak load since 2006 (Figure 1). PJM, the nation’s largest regional transmission organization, issued maximum generation and hot weather alerts for June 22-25, forecasting peak loads of 160,526 MW — well above its summer projection of 154,000 MW and nearing the 2006 all-time high of 165,563 MW.

The heat dome, characterized by intense heat and high humidity, spiked electricity demand as air conditioners ran at full capacity. To maintain reliability, PJM urged transmission and generation owners to defer scheduled maintenance and keep critical infrastructure online during this high-stress period.

The heat dome’s impact draws parallels to Texas’ 2023 heat wave, where renewables and storage met up to 80% of ERCOT’s peak load. PJM’s interconnection queue remains backed up with projects consistently delayed or suspended. Nationally, more than $14 billion in clean energy projects have been canceled this year amid policy and economic uncertainty.

As extreme weather events become more frequent, and incremental load growth remains a central part of the conversation, PJM and other grid operators face a growing risk to grid reliability.

PJM is the largest regional transmission organization in the U.S., spanning 13 states and District of Columbia. It is responsible for the flow of electricity to about 67 million people.

  • EVOLVE 2025 – Beyond the Curve: Transparent Insights Into the Future of Power Prices – This presentation to the Enverus EVOLVE 2025 Conference in Houston features work to provide a clear picture of future power market supply and demand dynamics. We showcase the innovative workflow developed by Enverus Intelligence® Research, highlighting a highly transparent and detailed long-term power market forecast. Our models consider a wide range of factors, including load growth driven by artificial intelligence, transport electrification, reshoring of manufacturing and an increasingly renewable-dominated generation mix.

  • EVOLVE 2025 – Data Center Capacity Expansion: Pushing Capex to the Limit – The rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure is increasing load for the first time in decades, causing a land acquisition frenzy. Rapid advancements in hardware and software mean that delaying capacity additions can compound tech innovation. This presentation to the Enverus Evolve 2025 conference examines anticipated load growth from AI, the impact of chip efficiency on forecasts and data center project development.

About Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR)

Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations, and macroeconomic forecasts and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies, and capital providers worldwide. See additional disclosures here.

Picture of Corianna Mah, Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® Research

Corianna Mah, Analyst, Enverus Intelligence® Research

orianna Mah is a Research Analyst with Enverus Intelligence® Research, specializing in research on renewable power assets. She holds a degree in Mechanical Engineering and Energy & Environment Engineering. With over 6 years of experience across engineering and management consulting, she applies her technical and strategic background to help clients navigate the evolving energy landscape.

Subscribe to the Enverus Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Related Content
Enverus Press Release - How much production growth can North America deliver over the next decade?
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

See how Enverus called ERCOT's August 2026 coincident peak a day early and pinpointed the exact peak hour, beating ERCOT's own load forecast accuracy.

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Recap: How the Trump Administration is reshaping energy markets
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

Learn how utilities, hyperscalers, and developers can score assets, align stakeholders, and structure power agreements that close faster and withstand scrutiny.

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Haynesville operators calculate remaining growth
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

Learn how utilities, hyperscalers, and developers can score assets, align stakeholders, and structure power agreements that close faster and withstand scrutiny.

Enverus Press Release - E&Ps with natural gas + CCS pave way for model data center development
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

MISO hit its $10,000/MWh cap on Sept. 2 as evening load surged, solar output collapsed, and imports weakened, triggering an EEA2 alert.

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Enhanced geothermal systems: The future of reliable, green power for AI data centers?
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

A $1 million-per-MW gap separates buying gas capacity from building it. See why utilities rarely run that comparison, and what it takes to defend the answer.

Enverus Press Release - Enverus Acquires BidOut, energy’s leading AI-powered procurement platform provider
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

Most FTR losses come from sound analysis with incomplete visibility. Learn the five pitfalls that separate winning desks from ones that explain away the losses.

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Until LNG demand arrives, natural gas expected to struggle at $3
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

Enverus identified the ERCOT July 2026 coincident peak one day in advance. See how our day-ahead forecasts outperformed ERCOT during a critical summer heat wave.

Enverus Press Release - CO2 pipeline economics: The missing link
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

PJM's August 2026 base case sits above market on heat rate, with RGGI costs and capacity risk keeping the stack tight even as transmission relief arrives.

Enverus Press Release - Enverus Earns Top Workplaces Honors for Fourth Consecutive Year
Post
Power & Renewables
ByEnverus

MISO's August 2026 outlook: softer peaks vs. July, forecast converging with the market, and new Gulf Coast gas capacity reshaping South flows.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Get Started?