News Release

DUC Hunt: What the 2025 drawdown means

EIA discrepancy could impact production forecasts and capital efficiency

byEnverus

CALGARY, Alberta (Feb. 12, 2025) — Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the most trusted energy-dedicated SaaS company that leverages generative AI across its solutions, is releasing a report that analyzes recent inventories of drilling uncompleted wells (DUCs) and the implications for 2025 budgets. DUCs provide operators with strategic flexibility, financial benefits, and operational efficiency, making them a crucial aspect of the industry’s dynamics. EIR’s report also examines differences between EIR’s DUC estimates and those of the Energy Information Administration (EIA).

“Operators are entering into 2025 with lower DUC inventory numbers than they entered 2024, creating potential for impacts to capital efficiency throughout the year,” said EIR principal analyst and report co-author Mark Chapman.

“DUCs act as a form of inventory and when market conditions are favorable, such as higher winter gas prices, companies can quickly complete these wells to boost production and capitalize on the higher prices, providing a tailwind early in 2025.” Chapman said.

Key takeaways from the report:

  • The number of drilled uncompleted wells (DUCs) in the last year fell faster than the drop in drilling rigs, indicated the backlog of such wells is declining. This has implications for energy companies’ 2025 forecasts on production and capital efficiency.
  • The Midland Basin depleted its inventory of excess DUCs the most over the past year, falling from two months to one.
  • A few gas producers bucked the industry trend and managed to increase total DUC inventories by more than one month since last year.
  • EIA estimates of DUCs have become increasingly misaligned with EIR’s calculations, which we suspect largely reflects differences in the granularity and timeliness of data sources.
Chart - DUC Inventory Levels in the US

EIR’s analysis pulls from a variety of Enverus products including Enverus Activity Analytics.

You must be an Enverus Intelligence® subscriber to access this report.

About Enverus Intelligence® Research:
Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations and macro-economic forecasts; and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies and capital providers worldwide. Enverus is the most trusted, energy-dedicated SaaS company, with a platform built to create value from generative AI, offering real-time access to analytics, insights and benchmark cost and revenue data sourced from our partnerships to 95% of U.S. energy producers, and more than 40,000 suppliers. Learn more at Enverus.com.

Picture of Enverus

Enverus

Energy’s most trusted SaaS platform — creating intelligent connections that uncover insights and opportunities to deliver extraordinary outcomes.

Related News

800 VDC rewrites AI data center power economics
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes how 800 VDC architecture could lower AI data center electrical capex, improve facility efficiency and reduce copper intensity.

Enverus cuts U.S. EV adoption forecast due to federal policy changes and slower market growth
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest EV forecast shows how slower U.S. adoption after federal tax credit changes shifts grid load timing, regional ISO exposure and ICE vehicle displacement through 2035.

At the cap, below CONE Why PJM’s capacity market needs a reset
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research finds PJM’s current capacity market may not support financeable new gas generation at today’s capital costs. The report analyzes the capacity-price levels and bilateral contract structures needed to make new CCGT projects viable.

ERCOT Large Load Batch Zero Readiness
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research analyzes ERCOT’s Batch Zero large-load qualification, estimating that 55 projects (21.7 GW) are positioned to meet the July 15 requirements while 62 projects (37 GW) are likely deferred to Batch 1+. The report outlines key deadlines, financial-security...

What’s next for the Strait of Hormuz?
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s latest Strait of Hormuz outlook highlights a stocks-driven “higher for longer” setup, modeling OECD crude and product inventories falling from 2.82 Bbbl (YE25) to a 2.36 Bbbl trough in Q4 2026. The report also flags a potential...

Let’s make a deal Brent upgraded, Henry Hub downgraded
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus’ latest Fundamental Edge report, “Let’s Make a Deal | Brent Upgrade, Henry Downgrade,” raises its 2H26 Brent forecast to $110/bbl on a late-June deal and gradual Strait of Hormuz reopening while maintaining a capped summer Henry Hub outlook and...

Class VI approvals build, submissions slow
News Release
ByJon Haubert

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s Class VI Update 1Q26 finds approvals building while submissions slow: three final permits issued in 2026 so far, five draft permits in 1Q26, and active Class VI injection capacity at 5.2 mtpa with forecasts above 100 mtpa...

The Binding Constraint From EUV Machines to Megawatts
News Release
ByJon Haubert

About Enverus Intelligence® Research Enverus Intelligence ® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments,...

Time-to-power gap Big generation’s Achilles’ heel in the AI data center race
News Release
ByJon Haubert

AI-driven data center demand is shifting power markets as faster-to-deploy distributed solutions outpace grid infrastructure; Enverus details the time-to-power gap.

Find Out How Enverus Can Help Your Business
Subscribe to the Energy Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Get Started

Sign up for our Blog

Ready to Subscribe?

Ready to Get Started?